Quickley's three-point props show legitimate value with a 55.6% over rate (20-16) and positive 6.1% ROI on overs across 36 games. His 2.83 average consistently beats the typical 2.53 line by 0.3 makes per game. Lean over with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
Immanuel Quickley's three-point production represents one of the more reliable prop betting edges in the NBA this season. The Toronto guard's 55.6% over rate isn't just noise—it's backed by a meaningful 0.3 differential between his actual output (2.83) and the betting line (2.53). This gap suggests oddsmakers are consistently undervaluing Quickley's expanded role and shot volume in Toronto's system. The positive 6.1% ROI on overs across 36 games demonstrates real profitability, while the steep -15.2% under ROI warns against fading his production. Quickley's ability to maintain this edge over a substantial sample size indicates the market hasn't fully adjusted to his increased responsibility as a primary ball-handler. His current one-game under streak follows a seven-game over streak, showing the natural variance within a profitable long-term trend. The lack of dramatic splits suggests his three-point production remains consistent regardless of opponent or situation, making this a relatively stable betting proposition. However, the moderate 55.6% hit rate means bankroll management remains crucial—this isn't a slam dunk play but rather a steady edge that compounds over time.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Quickley's consistent 0.3 differential above market expectations creates legitimate long-term value, supported by a 55.6% over rate and positive ROI. Target games where his usage remains high and Toronto needs perimeter scoring. Primary risk is natural regression to the mean, but the 36-game sample suggests sustainable edge rather than hot streak.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Immanuel Quickley props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Immanuel Quickley's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Quickley's three-point props have hit over 20 times and under 16 times across 36 games, producing a 55.6% over rate. His consistent production above market expectations has generated a positive 6.1% return on investment for over bettors this season.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Immanuel Quickley 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet over on Quickley's three-point props with measured confidence. His 2.83 average consistently beats the typical 2.53 line, creating a 0.3 differential that has produced profitable returns. The 55.6% over rate provides a sustainable edge worth exploiting.
What's Immanuel Quickley's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Quickley averages 2.83 three-pointers made per game compared to the typical betting line of 2.53. This 0.3 differential represents consistent value, as he's exceeded market expectations by nearly half a make per game across 36 contests this season.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Quickley three-point overs when Toronto faces pace-up spots or needs perimeter scoring. His production remains consistent across situations, making most games viable. Avoid after extended over streaks if the line moves significantly above his 2.83 season average.