Immanuel Quickley has quietly become one of the NBA's more reliable assist prop overs, hitting 60% across his last 10 games with a 6-4-0 record. The Raptors guard is averaging 7.1 assists against a 6.5 line, creating a +0.6 edge that translates to +14.6% ROI. This represents a lean over opportunity with developing playmaking consistency.
Expert Analysis
Quickley's assist production surge reflects his expanded role in Toronto's backcourt rotation and the team's increased reliance on his court vision. The 7.1 average against a 6.5 line suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his enhanced playmaking responsibilities, creating consistent value on overs. His assist distribution shows encouraging stability - while he's hit four consecutive overs at one point, the longest under streak was just two games, indicating he's found a sustainable floor in this role. The +0.6 differential isn't massive, but it's meaningful when combined with the 60% hit rate over a decent 10-game sample. However, bettors should note that assist props can be volatile based on game flow, pace, and teammate shooting efficiency. Quickley's success rate suggests he's genuinely improved as a facilitator rather than simply benefiting from random variance. The key concern is whether this represents a new baseline or temporary hot streak - his role security and Toronto's offensive system both support continued assist production, but regression toward league-average rates remains possible.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Quickley's 60% over rate and +0.6 average differential indicate genuine value against current pricing. The combination of expanded playmaking duties and consistent floor makes overs attractive, particularly in games where Toronto faces faster-paced opponents or competitive spreads that encourage ball movement. Main risk is natural regression and the inherent volatility of assist props based on teammate shooting.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-07 | OPP | 6.5 | 5.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-11 | OPP | 5.5 | 2.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-09 | OPP | 5.5 | 7.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 7.5 | 9.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 7.5 | 13.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 6.5 | 9.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 6.5 | 6.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 7.5 | 5.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-15 | OPP | 7.5 | 10.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Immanuel Quickley's Assists prop record last 10 games?
Quickley has gone over his assists prop in 6 of his last 10 games (60%), with 4 unders and no pushes. This 6-4-0 record has generated a solid +14.6% ROI for over bettors while under backers have lost -23.6% during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Immanuel Quickley Assists last 10 games?
Bet the over. Quickley's 60% over rate and 7.1 average against a 6.5 line create consistent value. His expanded playmaking role provides a sustainable edge, though I'd size bets conservatively given assist prop volatility and medium confidence level.
What's Immanuel Quickley's average Assists last 10 games?
Quickley is averaging 7.1 assists over his last 10 games, which is 0.6 assists above the typical 6.5 line. This differential represents meaningful value and suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his increased playmaking responsibilities in Toronto's system.
How reliable is this trend?
Target overs in uptempo games or when Toronto faces competitive spreads that encourage ball movement. Avoid in blowout spots where Quickley might see reduced minutes, and be cautious on back-to-backs where his usage could decrease in the second game.