Grayson Allen's assists have been ice cold, hitting over 2.5 just 30% of the time across his last 10 games while averaging 2.2 per contest. The Suns guard is currently riding a five-game under streak, making the under side a compelling play with strong recent momentum.
Expert Analysis
Grayson Allen's assist production has fallen into a clear pattern of underperformance, with the under cashing in seven of his last 10 games for a robust 33.6% ROI. The 2.2 average sits 0.3 assists below the typical 2.5 line, creating consistent value on the under side. Allen's role as primarily a catch-and-shoot specialist limits his playmaking opportunities, as he ranks among the league's lowest in assist rate for guards with significant minutes. The current five-game under streak suggests this isn't random variance but reflects his actual usage within Phoenix's offensive system. When Chris Paul was healthy earlier in the season, Allen's assist numbers were even more suppressed as he deferred primary ball-handling duties. The Suns' pace and Allen's limited time as the primary initiator create a ceiling on his assist potential. While regression toward his season average is always possible, the underlying role hasn't changed significantly. Allen's assist props appear systematically overvalued by oddsmakers who may be pricing in his overall basketball IQ rather than his actual playmaking usage in Phoenix's rotation.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Grayson Allen's assist props have provided exceptional under value, hitting at a 70% clip with strong ROI metrics. His role as a complementary shooter rather than primary facilitator creates a natural ceiling on assist production. The five-game under streak reflects systematic undervaluation rather than bad luck, making continued under betting the optimal strategy.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
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Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Grayson Allen's Assists prop record last 10 games?
Grayson Allen has gone over his assists prop just 3 times in his last 10 games (30% rate) while going under 7 times. His 3-7-0 over/under record shows a clear trend toward lower assist production recently.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Grayson Allen Assists last 10 games?
Bet the under on Grayson Allen's assists with high confidence. The 70% under rate, positive ROI, and five-game under streak all point to continued value on the under side of his assist props.
What's Grayson Allen's average Assists last 10 games?
Grayson Allen is averaging 2.2 assists over his last 10 games, which sits 0.3 assists below the typical 2.5 line. This negative differential of -0.3 creates consistent mathematical value on under bets.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Grayson Allen assist unders when he's in his typical catch-and-shoot role with other playmakers healthy. The under side offers the best value given his limited ball-handling responsibilities in Phoenix's offensive system.