Gradey Dick's three-pointers made prop presents a perfectly balanced 5-5 record over his last 10 games, with his 2.2 average matching the typical line exactly. This dead-even trend offers no statistical edge, making it a clear pass for sharp bettors seeking profitable angles.
Expert Analysis
Dick's three-point prop represents the betting market's rare moment of perfect calibration. His 2.2 makes per game over the last 10 contests aligns precisely with standard betting lines, creating a zero-differential situation that eliminates any mathematical advantage. The 50% hit rate across both sides, combined with negative ROI on both overs and unders, demonstrates efficient pricing that accounts for the young wing's current role and usage patterns. Dick's three-point volume remains relatively stable as Toronto's developing shooter, but his consistency lacks the volatility that creates betting opportunities. The alternating pattern between overs and unders suggests random variance rather than any underlying trend worth exploiting. Without splits data revealing specific conditions where Dick significantly over or underperforms his baseline, bettors are essentially flipping a coin while paying the house edge. The recent one-game under streak means nothing in this context, as both his longest over and under streaks maxed out at just two games. This level of balance typically indicates a prop where the sportsbook has gathered sufficient data to price accurately, leaving little room for consistent profit. Smart money recognizes when a market offers no edge and moves to more favorable opportunities.
Betting Verdict
PASS with HIGH confidence. Dick's three-point prop offers zero statistical edge with his 2.2 average matching standard lines exactly and a perfectly balanced 5-5 record. The negative ROI on both sides confirms the market is efficiently priced. Without favorable splits or clear trending patterns, this represents a coin flip with house juice attached.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-21 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Gradey Dick's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Dick has gone 5-5 on his three-pointers made prop over his last 10 games, hitting the over exactly 50% of the time. His 2.2 average per game matches standard betting lines perfectly, creating a zero-differential situation.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Gradey Dick 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Neither. This prop should be avoided entirely. The perfectly balanced 5-5 record, zero differential between average and line, and negative ROI on both sides indicate an efficiently priced market with no profitable edge available.
What's Gradey Dick's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Dick averages exactly 2.2 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, which matches typical betting lines perfectly. This zero differential means there's no mathematical advantage to betting either direction on his prop.
How reliable is this trend?
There is no optimal time to bet Dick's three-point props based on current data. The lack of meaningful splits, balanced record, and efficient pricing suggest waiting for more favorable opportunities with clearer edges.