Goga Bitadze has cleared his blocks total in 60% of his last 10 games, averaging 2.0 blocks against a typical 1.5 line for a solid +0.5 differential. The over bets show a healthy +14.6% ROI, suggesting legitimate value rather than random variance. This presents a lean over opportunity when conditions align.
Expert Analysis
Bitadze's blocks surge reflects his expanded role as Orlando's primary rim protector when given consistent minutes. The 2.0 average against 1.5 lines indicates books haven't fully adjusted to his defensive impact in extended playing time. His 6-4-0 over record shows meaningful consistency rather than boom-bust volatility that plagues many blocks props. The key driver appears to be matchup-dependent usage - Bitadze thrives against teams that attack the rim frequently, allowing him multiple opportunities to showcase his 7-foot wingspan and timing. However, the sample size remains relatively small, and his role can fluctuate based on foul trouble or game script. The recent 1-game under streak after a 4-game over run suggests some natural regression, but the underlying fundamentals remain sound. Orlando's defensive scheme increasingly funnels drivers toward Bitadze, creating consistent shot-blocking opportunities. The biggest risk lies in blowout games where his minutes get reduced, or against perimeter-heavy offenses that limit his rim protection chances.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Bitadze's 2.0 average significantly exceeds typical 1.5 lines, and his 60% over rate with positive ROI indicates sustainable value. Target games against teams with high paint attack rates and when Orlando projects competitive game scripts that ensure his full rotation minutes. The main risk remains small sample size and potential line adjustments as books catch up to his expanded defensive role.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-15 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Goga Bitadze's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Bitadze has gone over his blocks total in 6 of his last 10 games for a 60% over rate. He's averaging 2.0 blocks per game during this stretch, showing consistent rim protection when given adequate minutes in Orlando's rotation.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Goga Bitadze Blocks last 10 games?
Lean over on Bitadze's blocks props when facing paint-attacking teams. His 2.0 average significantly exceeds typical 1.5 lines, and the +14.6% ROI on overs indicates sustainable value that books haven't fully recognized yet.
What's Goga Bitadze's average Blocks last 10 games?
Bitadze averages 2.0 blocks over his last 10 games compared to typical 1.5 lines, creating a +0.5 differential. This edge suggests he's consistently exceeding market expectations when given his current defensive role and minutes.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Bitadze blocks overs against teams with high paint attack rates and in competitive games ensuring full rotation minutes. Avoid when Orlando faces perimeter-heavy offenses or in potential blowout scenarios that could limit his playing time.