Gary Trent Jr. has delivered steals overs in 60% of his last 10 games, averaging 1.7 steals against a typical 1.5 line for a +0.2 differential. The +14.6% ROI on overs signals legitimate value, making this a lean over situation with medium conviction.
Expert Analysis
Trent Jr.'s steal production represents one of the more reliable defensive props in the Raptors' system. His 1.7 average over the last 10 games consistently exceeds the standard 1.5 line, creating a mathematical edge that translates to profitable betting outcomes. The 60% over rate isn't overwhelming, but the +14.6% ROI demonstrates that when Trent Jr. hits overs, they often come with room to spare. His defensive positioning as a shooting guard allows him to capitalize on passing lanes, particularly against teams that rely heavily on perimeter ball movement. The sample size of 10 games provides sufficient data without being diluted by early-season adjustments or injury returns. However, the recent single-game under streak and the fact that 40% of games still go under suggests this isn't a lock situation. Trent Jr.'s steal production tends to correlate with game flow and opponent pace, meaning blowouts or slow-paced contests can limit opportunities. The lack of split data prevents deeper situational analysis, but his baseline production has remained consistent enough to warrant continued consideration on overs when the line sits at 1.5.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Trent Jr.'s 1.7 average against the 1.5 line creates a sustainable edge, supported by positive ROI data over a meaningful sample. The ideal spot comes against uptempo teams that generate more possessions and transition opportunities where his anticipation skills shine. The main risk lies in defensive game scripts where Toronto builds large leads early, reducing Trent Jr.'s aggressive steal attempts in garbage time.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Gary Trent Jr.'s Steals prop record last 10 games?
Gary Trent Jr. has gone over his steals prop in 6 of his last 10 games for a 60% over rate. His record stands at 6-4-0 over/under, with 4 games going under during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Gary Trent Jr. Steals last 10 games?
Lean over on Gary Trent Jr.'s steals props. His 1.7 average beats the typical 1.5 line, and the +14.6% ROI on overs shows consistent profitability despite the recent single-game under streak.
What's Gary Trent Jr.'s average Steals last 10 games?
Gary Trent Jr. is averaging 1.7 steals over his last 10 games, which sits 0.2 above the standard 1.5 line. This differential has translated to profitable over betting with a 60% hit rate.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Gary Trent Jr. steals overs against fast-paced teams that create more possessions and transition opportunities. Avoid when Toronto is heavily favored, as blowout scenarios can limit his aggressive defensive play in late-game situations.