Fade UNDER
1-9 O/U Record
10.0% Over Rate
-8.1u Units Won
-80.9% ROI
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Gary Trent Jr.'s blocks prop has been a goldmine for under bettors, going 1-9-0 with a devastating 10.0% over rate. His 0.1 average sits 0.6 blocks below the typical line, creating an 8-game under streak. This represents a strong lean under opportunity.

Expert Analysis

Gary Trent Jr.'s blocks production has collapsed over this 10-game sample, averaging just 0.1 blocks per game against lines typically set around 0.7. This isn't a small sample fluke—we're looking at systematic underperformance that stems from his role and physical limitations. As a 6'5" shooting guard who primarily focuses on perimeter defense and offensive creation, Trent Jr. rarely finds himself in rim protection situations where blocks naturally occur. His defensive positioning keeps him on the perimeter, chasing shooters around screens rather than rotating into help defense. The 8-game under streak reflects this reality—blocks require specific defensive situations that simply don't align with Toronto's scheme for Trent Jr. The -80.9% ROI on overs tells the complete story of how dramatically the market has mispriced this prop. While regression is always possible in small samples, Trent Jr.'s role hasn't changed, and his physical tools haven't improved. The Raptors deploy him as a wing defender and offensive initiator, not a rim protector. This trend has persistence because it's rooted in basketball fundamentals, not random variance.

Betting Verdict

LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Gary Trent Jr.'s role as a perimeter-focused guard makes blocks an unnatural statistical category for him, evidenced by the 0.1 average and 8-game under streak. Target this prop when lines are set at 0.5 or higher, as his defensive responsibilities rarely put him in shot-blocking positions. The main risk is an outlier game with multiple transition blocks, but his consistent role makes this unlikely.

1 OVERS (10.0%)
9 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 10 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-04-14 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-09 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-07 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-05 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-31 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-27 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-25 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-20 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-17 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-03-15 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 0.0% Over
Away 33.3% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 0.0% Over
Last 10 10.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Gary Trent Jr.'s Blocks prop record last 10 games?

Gary Trent Jr. has gone 1-9-0 on blocks over/unders in his last 10 games, hitting just 10.0% of overs. He's averaging 0.1 blocks per game, creating a significant gap below typical line settings around 0.7 blocks.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Gary Trent Jr. Blocks last 10 games?

Bet under on Gary Trent Jr.'s blocks props. His perimeter-focused defensive role and 0.1 average over 10 games, combined with an 8-game under streak, create a strong edge against inflated lines typically set around 0.7.

What's Gary Trent Jr.'s average Blocks last 10 games?

Gary Trent Jr. is averaging 0.1 blocks over his last 10 games, sitting 0.6 blocks below the typical line of 0.7. This massive differential has produced an 8-game under streak and -80.9% ROI for over bettors.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Gary Trent Jr.'s blocks unders when lines are set at 0.5 or higher, particularly in games where Toronto faces perimeter-heavy opponents. His role as a wing defender creates consistent value against market overpricing of his shot-blocking ability.

Methodology: This analysis covers 10 games from 2024-03-15 to 2024-04-14. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.