Evan Mobley's blocks prop presents a dead-even scenario over his last 10 games, hitting over 1.5 blocks exactly 50% of the time with a minimal +0.1 average differential. The perfectly balanced 5-5 record and negative ROI on both sides signal a coin flip market with no clear edge.
Expert Analysis
Mobley's blocks production has reached an equilibrium that suggests the market has efficiently priced his defensive impact. The 1.5 average against a 1.4 line creates only a marginal edge that's been negated by the -4.5% ROI on both sides, indicating juice is eating into any theoretical advantage. The current streak of one under follows a pattern of short runs in both directions, with the longest under streak reaching three games and overs capping at two. This volatility without directional bias is typical of a player whose role and minutes have stabilized. Mobley's shot-blocking has become predictably unpredictable, hovering around his seasonal baseline without the explosive upside or concerning downside that creates betting opportunities. The absence of meaningful splits data reinforces that external factors aren't significantly moving his defensive production. When a prop shows this level of balance over a meaningful sample, it often indicates the player has found his true level of performance, making it difficult to identify consistent edges. The market appears to have correctly calibrated expectations around Mobley's rim protection, leaving little room for exploitation.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. The perfectly balanced 5-5 record and identical negative ROI on both sides indicate an efficiently priced market with no sustainable edge. While Mobley's slight average advantage suggests marginal over value, the consistent losses on both sides prove the juice negates any theoretical benefit. Wait for more favorable conditions or external factors that could shift his defensive role.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Evan Mobley's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Mobley has gone 5-5 on blocks overs in his last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% with an average of 1.5 blocks against a typical 1.4 line, showing perfectly balanced recent performance.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Evan Mobley Blocks last 10 games?
Pass on Mobley's blocks props currently. The dead-even 5-5 record and negative ROI on both sides indicate an efficiently priced market with no sustainable edge worth betting.
What's Evan Mobley's average Blocks last 10 games?
Mobley is averaging 1.5 blocks over his last 10 games compared to the typical 1.4 line, creating only a minimal +0.1 differential that hasn't translated to profitable betting opportunities.
How reliable is this trend?
Wait for matchups against high-pace teams or when facing centers who attack the rim aggressively. Current data shows no clear situational advantages, so external factors become more important.