Draymond Green's three-pointers made prop presents a compelling over opportunity with a 57.9% hit rate across 38 games. His 1.08 average significantly exceeds the typical 0.5 line, generating +10.5% ROI on overs. The Warriors' offensive evolution has unlocked Green's perimeter shooting.
Expert Analysis
Draymond Green's three-point production has fundamentally shifted as the Warriors adapted their offensive philosophy around his expanded role. His 1.08 average against a 0.5 line represents more than doubling expectations, driven by Golden State's need for floor spacing from all five positions. The 57.9% over rate isn't random variance—it reflects Green's increased comfort and frequency from beyond the arc as the Warriors lean into small-ball lineups. Green's basketball IQ allows him to recognize optimal shooting situations, particularly in transition and when opponents sag off him to help on Curry or Thompson. The +10.5% ROI on overs demonstrates sustainable value, as books appear slow to adjust lines for Green's evolved offensive role. His seven-game over streak highlights the consistency of this trend, though the recent one-game under streak reminds us that Green remains selective with his attempts. The key driver is Golden State's pace and Green's willingness to shoot open looks rather than pass them up. This isn't a volume shooter suddenly finding range—it's a high-IQ player recognizing when his three-point attempts benefit team spacing and offensive flow. The trend persistence suggests this represents a genuine skill evolution rather than temporary hot shooting.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Green's 1.08 average versus the 0.5 line creates consistent value, particularly when Golden State plays uptempo or faces teams that dare him to shoot. The 57.9% hit rate and positive ROI support regular over consideration. Main risk is Green's selective nature—he won't force shots, so blowouts or games where he focuses purely on facilitating could produce zeros.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 5.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Draymond Green's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Draymond Green's three pointers made prop shows a 22-16-0 over/under record across 38 games, hitting the over 57.9% of the time. This represents strong value for over bettors with consistent performance above the typical 0.5 line.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Draymond Green 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet the over on Draymond Green's three pointers made props. His 1.08 average significantly exceeds the standard 0.5 line, producing +10.5% ROI for over bettors. The Warriors' system consistently creates quality three-point opportunities for Green.
What's Draymond Green's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Draymond Green averages 1.08 three pointers made per game, which is 0.6 above the typical 0.5 line. This substantial differential explains the 57.9% over rate and demonstrates why the over provides consistent betting value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Draymond Green three-pointers made overs when Golden State plays uptempo or faces teams with poor perimeter defense. Small-ball lineups and games requiring floor spacing from all positions create the best conditions for Green's three-point attempts.