Draymond Green's blocks prop presents a compelling over opportunity with a 60.0% hit rate (21-14 record) and a +0.3 differential above the typical 0.61 line. Currently riding a six-game over streak with +14.6% ROI, this trend reflects Green's elite defensive positioning and increased defensive responsibility as the Warriors' anchor.
Expert Analysis
Draymond Green's blocks over trend stems from his unique role as the Warriors' defensive quarterback and rim protector despite his 6'6" frame. His 0.91 blocks per game significantly exceeds the standard 0.61 line, creating consistent value for over bettors. Green's elite basketball IQ allows him to anticipate plays and position himself for blocks that taller players might miss through poor positioning. The Warriors' switching defense system puts Green in help situations regularly, increasing his block opportunities against drivers and post-ups. His 60.0% over rate across 35 games suggests this isn't variance but a systematic undervaluation by oddsmakers who may focus too heavily on his height rather than his defensive impact. The current six-game over streak aligns with Golden State's recent emphasis on defensive intensity as they push for playoff positioning. However, the -23.6% under ROI indicates books are adjusting, and Green's advancing age (34) could impact his explosiveness for chase-down blocks. The trend's persistence suggests oddsmakers haven't fully corrected the line to reflect Green's true blocking ability in his specialized role.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Green's 0.91 average against a 0.61 line creates mathematical value, supported by his defensive role and six-game streak. The 60.0% hit rate over 35 games indicates sustainable edge rather than hot streak variance. Primary risk is line adjustment as books recognize the pattern, but Green's unique skill set as an undersized rim protector continues generating blocks through positioning and anticipation rather than pure athleticism.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Draymond Green's Blocks prop record all games?
Draymond Green's blocks prop shows a 21-14-0 record (60.0% overs) across 35 games from November 2023 to April 2024. He's averaging 0.91 blocks per game against a typical line of 0.61, creating a +0.3 differential that favors over bettors consistently.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Draymond Green Blocks all games?
Bet the over on Draymond Green's blocks props. His 60.0% hit rate and +0.3 average differential above the line create mathematical value. The six-game over streak and +14.6% ROI support continued over betting, especially given his defensive role as Golden State's anchor.
What's Draymond Green's average Blocks all games?
Draymond Green averages 0.91 blocks per game, significantly above the typical 0.61 line set by sportsbooks. This +0.3 differential represents substantial value, as Green consistently exceeds expectations through his elite defensive positioning and basketball IQ despite his undersized frame for a rim protector.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Draymond Green's blocks overs when Golden State emphasizes defense or faces teams with aggressive drivers. His switching role creates multiple block opportunities, and his current six-game streak suggests peak engagement. Avoid when books adjust lines above 0.8 or against perimeter-heavy offenses.