Donte DiVincenzo's three-pointers made prop presents a compelling over opportunity with a 64.3% hit rate (27-15-0) and impressive +22.7% ROI. The Knicks guard averages 4.1 makes against a 3.38 line, creating a meaningful 0.7-shot edge that suggests consistent market undervaluation.
Expert Analysis
DiVincenzo's three-point dominance stems from his elevated role in New York's offense and the team's emphasis on perimeter shooting. The 64.3% over rate across 42 games indicates this isn't random variance but a systematic market inefficiency. His 4.1 average against a 3.38 line represents a substantial 20.7% edge, suggesting oddsmakers consistently underestimate his volume and efficiency. The Knicks' pace and offensive system create consistent opportunities for DiVincenzo to launch attempts, particularly when the team falls behind and needs to generate quick offense. His shooting mechanics and confidence level appear stable throughout the sample, with the longest over streak reaching six games compared to just three unders. The +22.7% ROI demonstrates this edge translates to actual profit, while the brutal -31.8% under ROI confirms the market's persistent mispricing. The lack of significant regression despite the strong over performance suggests DiVincenzo's role and usage patterns have fundamentally shifted upward from his previous situations. This trend appears sustainable given his integration into the Knicks' system and coach Tom Thibodeau's trust in his perimeter shooting.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 64.3% over rate and +0.7 average differential create a legitimate edge, though the sample size demands some caution. DiVincenzo's elevated role in New York's offense and consistent three-point volume make overs the preferred play, especially when the line sits at 3.5 or lower. The main risk involves potential regression to his career norms, but his current usage suggests this performance level is sustainable.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 8.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 11.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Donte DiVincenzo's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
DiVincenzo's three-pointers made prop shows a dominant 27-15-0 over/under record across 42 games, translating to a 64.3% over rate. This strong performance has generated a +22.7% ROI for over bettors while devastating under backers with -31.8% returns.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Donte DiVincenzo 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet the over on DiVincenzo's three-pointers made props. The 64.3% over rate and +0.7 average differential above the line create a legitimate edge. His elevated role in New York's system makes overs the clear preferred play, especially at lines of 3.5 or below.
What's Donte DiVincenzo's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
DiVincenzo averages 4.1 three-pointers made across all games against a typical line of 3.38, creating a favorable 0.7-shot differential. This 20.7% edge above the betting line suggests consistent market undervaluation of his three-point volume in the Knicks' offensive system.
How reliable is this trend?
Target DiVincenzo three-point overs when lines are set at 3.5 or lower, maximizing the edge from his 4.1 average. The trend shows consistency across all game situations, making any standard game environment suitable for backing overs given the persistent market mispricing.