Fade UNDER
5-23 O/U Record
17.9% Over Rate
-18.5u Units Won
-65.9% ROI
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Dillon Brooks has been a blocks under machine in away games, hitting just 17.9% of overs with a 5-23-0 record against the standard 0.5 line. His 0.25 average sits well below the betting threshold, creating a -0.2 differential that has delivered +56.8% ROI on unders. This represents a clear lean under opportunity.

Expert Analysis

Dillon Brooks's blocks production away from Houston tells a story of positional limitations and defensive role constraints that create sustainable betting value. His 0.25 blocks per away game average reflects the reality of his 6'7" frame operating primarily on the perimeter, where blocks opportunities are naturally limited compared to interior defenders. The 17.9% over rate across 28 games isn't a small sample fluke—it represents systematic underperformance against a modest 0.5 line that oddsmakers appear reluctant to adjust. Brooks's defensive value comes through steals, deflections, and on-ball pressure rather than rim protection, making blocks an inconsistent byproduct rather than a focal point of his game. The road environment compounds this issue, as visiting teams often face different pace and spacing that can further reduce his already limited shot-blocking opportunities. His current four-game under streak extends a pattern where he's recorded seven consecutive unders at one point, suggesting this isn't random variance but a structural mismatch between his skill set and this particular prop market. The -65.9% ROI on overs serves as a stark warning to contrarian bettors, while the +56.8% under return demonstrates the sustainability of this edge when properly exploited.

Betting Verdict

LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Brooks's blocks production away from home represents a clear market inefficiency, with his 0.25 average creating consistent value against the 0.5 line. The 17.9% over rate across 28 games provides substantial evidence of sustainable edge, particularly given his perimeter-focused defensive role limits natural blocks opportunities. Primary risk involves potential line movement to 0.5 -130 or higher juice that could erode profitability.

5 OVERS (17.9%)
23 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 15 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-04-11 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-07 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-02 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-29 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-27 OPP 0.5 2.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-03-19 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-12 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-10 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-08 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-02 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-02-29 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-27 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-22 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-14 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-10 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 50.0% Over
Away 17.9% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 20.0% Over
Last 10 20.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Dillon Brooks's Blocks prop record away games?

Dillon Brooks has gone 5-23-0 on blocks overs in away games, hitting just 17.9% of his overs against the standard 0.5 line. This represents one of the most lopsided prop records in the market, with unders delivering +56.8% ROI compared to -65.9% on overs.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dillon Brooks Blocks away games?

Bet under on Dillon Brooks blocks in away games. His 0.25 average sits well below the 0.5 line, creating a -0.2 differential that has produced consistent value. The 17.9% over rate across 28 games provides strong evidence of sustainable edge in this market.

What's Dillon Brooks's average Blocks away games?

Dillon Brooks averages 0.25 blocks per away game, which sits 0.2 blocks below the standard 0.5 betting line. This differential creates natural value on the under, as he needs to exceed his typical production by 100% just to push the over bet.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Dillon Brooks blocks unders specifically in away games where his 17.9% over rate creates maximum edge. Avoid home games where splits may differ, and monitor for any line movement to 0.5 -130 or higher that could erode the mathematical advantage.

Methodology: This analysis covers 28 games from 2023-11-28 to 2024-04-11. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.