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8-20 O/U Record
28.6% Over Rate
-12.7u Units Won
-45.5% ROI
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Devin Booker's three-pointers made prop at home presents a compelling under opportunity, hitting just 28.6% of overs across 28 games with a -0.4 differential below the typical line. Currently riding a five-game under streak with an eight-game under streak earlier this season, the data strongly favors the under.

Expert Analysis

Devin Booker's home three-point production reveals a systematic underperformance that transcends typical variance. Averaging 2.07 makes against lines typically set around 2.43, Booker consistently falls short of market expectations at Footprint Center. This 0.36 make deficit per game represents meaningful value, particularly given the 36.4% ROI on under bets versus a devastating -45.5% on overs. The current five-game under streak extends a pattern of inconsistent long-range shooting at home, where Booker appears to prioritize facilitating and attacking the rim over volume three-point attempts. His shooting mechanics and shot selection remain elite, but the usage patterns and pace of home games seem to limit his three-point opportunities. The eight-game under streak earlier this season demonstrates this isn't merely recent form but a persistent trend. Booker's role as the primary offensive catalyst often leads to more drives and mid-range attempts in the controlled environment of home games, where the Suns can dictate tempo and rely on his versatile scoring rather than perimeter volume.

Betting Verdict

UNDER with HIGH confidence. Booker's home three-point production shows remarkable consistency in underperforming market expectations, with the current streak reinforcing a season-long pattern. The 28.6% over rate across 28 games provides substantial sample size confidence, while the -0.4 differential suggests books haven't fully adjusted. Target this prop when lines sit at 2.5 or higher, as Booker's home role emphasizes playmaking and interior scoring over perimeter volume shooting.

8 OVERS (28.6%)
20 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 15 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2025-03-30 OPP 2.5 1.0 -1.5 UNDER
2025-02-11 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-04-09 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-04-07 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-04-05 OPP 2.5 1.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-04-03 OPP 2.5 5.0 +2.5 OVER
2024-03-21 OPP 2.5 6.0 +3.5 OVER
2024-03-20 OPP 2.5 1.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-03-02 OPP 2.5 2.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-29 OPP 2.5 6.0 +3.5 OVER
2024-02-25 OPP 2.5 1.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-02-13 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-02-06 OPP 2.5 2.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-01-22 OPP 2.5 2.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-01-21 OPP 2.5 1.0 -1.5 UNDER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 28.6% Over
Away 50.0% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 0.0% Over
Last 10 30.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Devin Booker's 3-Pointers Made prop record home games?

Devin Booker's three-pointers made prop at home games shows an 8-20-0 over/under record (28.6% overs) across 28 games. He's averaging 2.07 makes against typical lines around 2.43, creating a consistent 0.36 make deficit that favors under bets.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Devin Booker 3-Pointers Made home games?

Bet the under on Devin Booker's three-pointers made at home games. The 28.6% over rate and -0.4 line differential provide high-confidence value, especially with his current five-game under streak reinforcing the season-long pattern of underperformance.

What's Devin Booker's average 3-Pointers Made home games?

Devin Booker averages 2.07 three-pointers made in home games compared to typical betting lines around 2.43. This 0.36 make deficit per game represents the core value proposition, as he consistently falls short of market expectations at Footprint Center.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Devin Booker three-pointers made unders at home when lines are set at 2.5 or higher. His home role emphasizes playmaking and interior scoring over perimeter volume, making higher lines particularly valuable given his 28.6% over rate.

Methodology: This analysis covers 28 games from 2023-11-15 to 2025-03-30. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.