Devin Booker has quietly exceeded his steals line in 60% of his last 10 games, averaging 1.0 steals against a 0.7 line for a +0.3 differential. The over has generated a solid 14.6% ROI while unders have been costly at -23.6%. This presents a lean over opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Devin Booker's steals production has shown surprising consistency above market expectations, suggesting oddsmakers are undervaluing his defensive activity. The 1.0 average against a 0.7 line represents a meaningful 43% edge that has translated to profitable betting results. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the sustainability factor - steals props often reflect a player's defensive engagement level rather than pure athletic ability, and Booker has clearly been more active in passing lanes recently. The 60% hit rate over 10 games provides a solid sample size, while the +0.3 differential indicates this isn't just variance but genuine outperformance. However, steals remain one of the most volatile basketball stats, heavily dependent on opponent pace, game flow, and defensive scheme adjustments. The current two-game over streak suggests momentum, but regression risk exists given steals' inherent unpredictability. The positive ROI on overs (+14.6%) combined with the significant losses on unders (-23.6%) creates a compelling risk-reward profile that favors continued over betting until the market adjusts.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Booker's 1.0 average against the 0.7 line represents genuine value that the market hasn't corrected. The 60% hit rate and positive ROI support continued over betting, particularly when Phoenix faces uptempo opponents or games with competitive spreads that encourage defensive intensity. Primary risk remains steals volatility and potential defensive scheme changes that could limit his opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Devin Booker's Steals prop record last 10 games?
Booker has gone over his steals line in 6 of his last 10 games for a 60% hit rate. He's averaging 1.0 steals against a typical 0.7 line, creating a +0.3 differential that has generated positive returns.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Devin Booker Steals last 10 games?
Lean over on Booker's steals props. His 1.0 average significantly exceeds the 0.7 line, and the 14.6% ROI on overs shows market inefficiency. However, maintain moderate bet sizing due to steals' inherent volatility.
What's Devin Booker's average Steals last 10 games?
Booker is averaging 1.0 steals over his last 10 games compared to the typical 0.7 line. This +0.3 differential represents a 43% edge above market expectations and has translated to profitable over betting.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Booker steals overs in competitive games against uptempo teams where defensive intensity peaks. Avoid blowout spots where garbage time reduces his defensive engagement and steal opportunities become limited.