Devin Booker's points prop presents a clear under opportunity, hitting just 40% of overs across his last 10 games while averaging 24.5 points against a 26.4 line. The -1.9 differential and +14.6% under ROI signal a meaningful edge. Lean Under with medium conviction.
Expert Analysis
Devin Booker's recent scoring struggles reveal a player operating below his typical standards, creating exploitable value on the under. The 24.5-point average against a 26.4 line represents nearly two points of cushion per game, while the 4-6 over record confirms books haven't fully adjusted to his diminished output. The concerning trend extends beyond raw numbers—Booker's longest under streak reached four games, suggesting sustained periods of subpar performance rather than random variance. His current one-game over streak appears more like a brief interruption than a trend reversal. The -23.6% over ROI starkly contrasts with the +14.6% under return, indicating sharp money has likely identified this inefficiency. Without split data to reveal specific vulnerabilities, the overall pattern suggests either physical limitations, role changes, or team dynamics affecting Booker's scoring volume. The persistence of this underperformance across 10 games provides sufficient sample size to suggest this isn't mere variance. Books appear slow to adjust lines downward, creating a window where the under maintains value until Booker either returns to form or lines properly reflect his current output level.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 1.9-point cushion between Booker's actual average and typical lines creates exploitable value, supported by strong under ROI and a clear pattern of diminished scoring. Target games where the line sits at 26 or higher for maximum edge. Primary risk involves Booker breaking out of this funk with a vintage performance, but the sustained nature of this trend suggests continued value on unders.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-30 | OPP | 24.5 | 28.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-09 | OPP | 25.5 | 24.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-25 | OPP | 25.5 | 28.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-11 | OPP | 28.5 | 17.0 | -11.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-13 | OPP | 24.5 | 34.0 | +9.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-07 | OPP | 28.5 | 21.0 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-15 | OPP | 28.5 | 12.0 | -16.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 25.5 | 23.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 26.5 | 21.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 26.5 | 37.0 | +10.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Devin Booker's Points prop record last 10 games?
Booker has gone under his points total in 6 of his last 10 games (40% over rate), with a 4-6-0 record. His longest under streak reached four consecutive games, showing sustained periods of diminished scoring.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Devin Booker Points last 10 games?
Bet the under on Booker's points props. He's averaging 1.9 points below typical lines with a +14.6% under ROI, while overs have lost -23.6%. The trend shows clear value on unders until performance or lines adjust.
What's Devin Booker's average Points last 10 games?
Booker is averaging 24.5 points over his last 10 games, running 1.9 points below the typical 26.4 line. This gap represents significant value for under bettors in a sport where margins matter greatly.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Booker under props when lines sit at 26+ points, maximizing the gap between his current 24.5 average and the number. Avoid after strong scoring games when books might temporarily adjust lines lower.