Devin Booker shows a slight home court edge for assists, hitting the over 53.6% of the time across 28 games with a modest +0.3 average differential above the typical 6.86 line. The 15-13 over record generates marginal positive ROI, suggesting a lean over approach in favorable matchups.
Expert Analysis
Devin Booker's assist production at home reveals a player who benefits from familiar surroundings and crowd energy, though the edge is more subtle than explosive. The 7.14 home average represents legitimate improvement over his typical line, driven by Phoenix's offensive rhythm in comfortable settings. Home court advantage often manifests in point guards through better court vision, increased confidence in risky passes, and teammates finishing shots at higher rates. However, the modest +2.3% ROI suggests this isn't a slam-dunk trend but rather a marginal edge that requires careful game selection. The current single-game under streak shouldn't concern bettors, as Booker's longest under streak spans just three games, indicating consistent playmaking ability. The key risk lies in blowout scenarios where fourth-quarter rest could cap his assist totals, particularly against weaker opponents where Phoenix builds large leads early. Booker's dual role as scorer and facilitator means his assist numbers can fluctuate based on shot-making variance, but home games provide the stability needed for more predictable playmaking opportunities.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Booker's 53.6% over rate and positive home differential create a sustainable edge worth exploiting in the right spots. Target games against competitive opponents where Phoenix will need sustained offensive execution throughout four quarters. Avoid obvious blowout matchups where garbage time could limit Booker's minutes and assist opportunities in the final frame.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-30 | OPP | 7.5 | 3.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-11 | OPP | 5.5 | 9.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 7.5 | 5.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 6.5 | 13.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 6.5 | 8.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 6.5 | 2.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 6.5 | 11.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 5.5 | 9.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-13 | OPP | 5.5 | 9.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 7.5 | 5.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-21 | OPP | 7.5 | 8.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Assists Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Devin Booker's Assists prop record home games?
Devin Booker's assists prop has gone over 15 times and under 13 times in home games, producing a 53.6% over rate across 28 games with a slight positive ROI of +2.3% on over bets.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Devin Booker Assists home games?
Lean over on Booker's assists at home, but be selective. The 53.6% over rate and +0.3 average differential provide a genuine edge, though avoid obvious blowout spots where fourth-quarter rest could cap his totals.
What's Devin Booker's average Assists home games?
Devin Booker averages 7.14 assists in home games compared to the typical 6.86 line, creating a positive differential of +0.3 assists that has generated modest but consistent value for over bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target competitive home games where Phoenix will need sustained offensive execution. Avoid betting Booker's assists props in likely blowouts against weak opponents, as garbage time rest significantly reduces his playmaking opportunities in the fourth quarter.