Derrick White's three-pointers made prop shows a strong 56.9% over rate across 58 games, hitting 33 overs against 25 unders. The Celtics guard averages 3.24 makes versus a typical 2.69 line, creating a +0.6 differential that translates to +8.6% ROI on overs. This represents a clear lean over opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Derrick White's three-point prop success stems from Boston's offensive system that maximizes his catch-and-shoot opportunities alongside elite playmakers like Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. The +0.6 differential between his 3.24 average and the 2.69 line suggests oddsmakers consistently undervalue his volume in Joe Mazzulla's offense, which ranks among the league's most three-point heavy schemes. White's role as a secondary initiator means he benefits from both assisted looks and self-created opportunities when the Celtics' stars draw defensive attention. The 8.6% ROI on overs indicates sustainable value rather than random variance, as this edge has persisted across nearly 60 games. However, the recent two-game under streak and the -17.7% under ROI highlight the importance of line shopping and situational awareness. White's three-point output can fluctuate based on game script, opponent pace, and his defensive workload, which sometimes impacts his offensive rhythm. The lack of detailed split data prevents deeper situational analysis, but the overall trend suggests books haven't fully adjusted to his expanded role in Boston's championship-caliber offense.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 56.9% hit rate and +0.6 average differential create legitimate value, especially when White's line sits at 2.5 or below. Target games where Boston faces uptempo opponents or when White's defensive matchup allows him to conserve energy for offense. The main risk is variance in a small sample and potential line adjustments as books catch up to his increased volume in Boston's system.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-11 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-12 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-28 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-26 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-04 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-10 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-05 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-03 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Derrick White's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Derrick White's three-pointers made prop shows a 33-25-0 over/under record across all games, translating to a 56.9% over rate. This strong performance spans 58 games from October 2023 through April 2025, indicating consistent value on the over.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Derrick White 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet the over on Derrick White's three-pointers made props, particularly when the line is 2.5 or below. His 3.24 average versus typical 2.69 lines creates an edge that has produced 8.6% ROI across a substantial sample size.
What's Derrick White's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Derrick White averages 3.24 three-pointers made per game across all situations, compared to his typical prop line of 2.69. This +0.6 differential represents meaningful value and explains his strong 56.9% over rate throughout the season.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Derrick White three-point overs when facing uptempo opponents or when his line sits at 2.5 or below. Boston's offensive system consistently creates quality looks, making game script and defensive matchup secondary factors to the underlying value.