Derrick White's steals prop shows a perfectly balanced 5-5 record over his last 10 games, with his 0.8 average marginally exceeding the typical 0.7 line. The minimal edge and negative ROI on both sides suggest this market is efficiently priced with no clear advantage.
Expert Analysis
Derrick White's steals production over the last 10 games reveals a market operating near perfect equilibrium. His 0.8 average represents just a 0.1 edge over the standard line, which translates to roughly one extra steal every 10 games—hardly meaningful for betting purposes. The 50% hit rate confirms what the numbers suggest: this prop lacks exploitable bias in either direction. White's defensive role as a guard naturally creates steal opportunities, but his consistent usage and Boston's structured defensive system limit volatility. The negative ROI on both sides (-4.5%) indicates the juice is eating into any potential edge, making this a classic efficient market where the bookmakers have accurately priced the true probability. Without split data showing specific matchup advantages or situational edges, White's steals prop appears to be one where the house edge reigns supreme. The alternating streaks (longest of just 2 games either way) further demonstrate the random nature of this particular market, suggesting regression to the mean is constantly at work.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence on any directional bet. While White averages slightly above the line at 0.8 versus 0.7, the razor-thin edge gets devoured by the vig, as evidenced by negative ROI on both sides. The perfectly balanced 5-5 record screams efficient market pricing, making this prop a classic avoid unless specific game conditions emerge.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Derrick White's Steals prop record last 10 games?
Derrick White has gone 5-5 on his steals over/under in his last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% of overs. This perfectly balanced record suggests the market is efficiently pricing his steals props with no clear directional bias.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Derrick White Steals last 10 games?
Pass on Derrick White's steals props. The 5-5 record and negative ROI on both sides indicate this is an efficiently priced market where the house edge eliminates any potential profit from the minimal statistical edge.
What's Derrick White's average Steals last 10 games?
Derrick White averages 0.8 steals over his last 10 games compared to the typical 0.7 line, creating just a 0.1 differential. This marginal edge translates to roughly one extra steal every 10 games—insufficient for profitable betting.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid betting Derrick White's steals props unless specific matchup data emerges showing clear advantages against high-pace teams or turnover-prone opponents. The current sample shows no exploitable situational edges worth targeting.