Derrick White has quietly emerged as a blocks prop value play, hitting the over in 60% of his last 10 games with a 6-4-0 record. His 0.8 blocks per game average sits comfortably above the typical 0.6 line, generating a solid +14.6% ROI on overs. This represents a clear lean over opportunity.
Expert Analysis
White's blocks surge stems from Boston's defensive scheme evolution and his increased comfort in help defense rotations. The Celtics have deployed him more frequently as a weak-side shot blocker, particularly when Kristaps Porzingis sits or operates on the perimeter. White's 6'4" frame and exceptional timing allow him to surprise drivers who don't expect blocks from a guard. His positioning has become more aggressive in recent weeks, leading to these elevated numbers. The 0.2 differential between his average and the standard line suggests books haven't fully adjusted to this defensive role expansion. However, regression risk exists if opponents begin attacking him specifically or if Boston reverts to more conservative positioning. The 60% hit rate over 10 games provides meaningful sample size, though the modest 0.8 average means just one or two quiet games could swing the trend. White's blocks production correlates strongly with game pace and opponent driving frequency, making matchup analysis crucial for optimal timing.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. White's expanded defensive role and consistent 0.8 blocks average against a 0.6 line creates genuine edge. The +14.6% ROI on overs validates this isn't variance. Target games against driving-heavy opponents or when Porzingis is questionable. Main risk is small sample regression, as his career blocks rate remains modest and one cold stretch could quickly flip this trend.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Derrick White's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
White has gone over his blocks prop in 6 of his last 10 games for a 60% hit rate. His 6-4-0 over/under record has generated a +14.6% return on investment for over bettors during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Derrick White Blocks last 10 games?
Lean over on White's blocks props. His 0.8 average significantly exceeds the typical 0.6 line, and Boston's defensive scheme has him in more help positions. The 60% success rate with positive ROI supports this approach.
What's Derrick White's average Blocks last 10 games?
White is averaging 0.8 blocks over his last 10 games, which sits 0.2 blocks above the standard 0.6 line. This differential has created consistent value for over bettors with a +14.6% return on investment.
How reliable is this trend?
Target White's blocks overs against teams with aggressive drivers or when Porzingis is questionable. Fast-paced games where he'll see more defensive possessions also boost his block opportunities and increase over probability.