Dennis Schröder's three-point prop shows clear under value with a 42.9% over rate across 21 games. The veteran guard averages 1.57 makes against a 1.55 line, but unders have delivered +9.1% ROI while overs hemorrhage -18.2%. Lean under on this consistently profitable fade.
Expert Analysis
Schröder's three-point production reveals a classic case of market inefficiency disguised by surface-level numbers. While his 1.57 average appears to justify the 1.55 line, the 42.9% over rate exposes the prop's true character. The German guard's shot selection has become increasingly conservative in Detroit's system, where he's prioritized facilitating over volume shooting. His three-point attempts have shown notable inconsistency game-to-game, creating a boom-bust pattern that favors under bettors willing to fade the occasional explosive performance. The -18.2% ROI on overs suggests the market consistently overvalues Schröder's ceiling while underestimating his floor games. With four-game streaks in both directions, this prop exhibits the volatility that makes it profitable for disciplined under betting. The key insight is that Schröder's role evolution in Detroit has made him less reliant on three-point volume than his career averages suggest, yet the betting market hasn't fully adjusted to this reality.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The +9.1% under ROI combined with a 57.1% hit rate creates solid long-term value despite the tight line differential. Schröder's conservative shot selection in Detroit's system consistently produces more 0-1 three-pointer games than the market expects. The main risk is his proven ability to go nuclear for extended stretches, but the data suggests those hot streaks are outliers worth fading.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dennis Schröder's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Dennis Schröder's three-point prop record shows 9 overs and 12 unders across 21 games, hitting the over just 42.9% of the time. He averages 1.57 makes against a typical 1.55 line, creating a deceptively close but profitable under opportunity.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dennis Schröder 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet under on Schröder's three-point props. The under has hit 57.1% of the time with +9.1% ROI, while overs lose -18.2%. His conservative shot selection in Detroit's system consistently produces fewer makes than the market expects.
What's Dennis Schröder's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Schröder averages 1.57 three-pointers made across all games against a 1.55 line, showing just a +0.02 differential. Despite appearing to barely clear the line on average, he's gone under in 12 of 21 games for consistent under value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Schröder three-point unders consistently rather than timing specific spots. His 57.1% under rate with positive ROI suggests systematic market mispricing. Avoid betting after his hot streaks when the market might temporarily adjust lines higher.