Dennis Schröder has gone under his points total in 60% of his last 10 games, averaging 13.4 points against a 14.6 line for a -1.2 differential. The under has delivered a solid 14.6% ROI while overs have hemorrhaged value at -23.6%. This points to a lean under on Schröder's scoring props.
Expert Analysis
Schröder's recent scoring struggles reflect a player whose role has shifted within Detroit's evolving rotation. The 1.2-point deficit between his actual production and betting lines suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his current usage patterns. The 60% under rate isn't just variance—it's a systematic underperformance that points to structural changes in how the Pistons deploy their veteran guard. Most telling is the stark ROI differential, where under bettors have profited while over backers have lost nearly a quarter of their investment. This kind of sustained negative differential typically persists when a player's role has fundamentally changed rather than experiencing temporary shooting variance. Schröder's two-game over streak might tempt contrarian thinking, but it follows a five-game under run that established the dominant pattern. The lack of available split data limits deeper context, but the core numbers paint a clear picture of a player whose current production consistently falls short of market expectations. Without evidence of increased usage or favorable matchup trends, this under bias appears likely to continue.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Schröder's 1.2-point negative differential and 60% under rate over 10 games indicates a market adjustment lag that sharp bettors can exploit. The 14.6% ROI on unders provides clear value, especially when lines remain inflated above his current 13.4-point average. Main risk is the recent two-game over streak potentially signaling a role change, but the underlying trend remains strong enough to warrant continued under consideration.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 14.5 | 15.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 14.5 | 21.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 13.5 | 4.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 15.5 | 24.0 | +8.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 15.5 | 14.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 12.5 | 9.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 17.5 | 5.0 | -12.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 13.5 | 12.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 13.5 | 13.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 15.5 | 17.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Points Prop Lines
Compare Dennis Schröder props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dennis Schröder's Points prop record last 10 games?
Schröder has gone 4-6 over/under on his points props in his last 10 games, hitting the under 60% of the time. He's averaging 13.4 points against lines averaging 14.6, creating a consistent 1.2-point shortfall that has favored under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dennis Schröder Points last 10 games?
Bet the under on Schröder's points props. His 60% under rate and 1.2-point negative differential show the market hasn't adjusted to his current role. Under bets have generated 14.6% ROI while overs have lost 23.6%, indicating clear value on the under side.
What's Dennis Schröder's average Points last 10 games?
Schröder is averaging 13.4 points over his last 10 games compared to an average line of 14.6 points. This 1.2-point deficit represents the gap between market expectations and his actual production, consistently favoring under bettors during this stretch.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Schröder under props when lines remain above 14 points, as his recent 13.4 average suggests continued value. The best spots come when oddsmakers haven't adjusted for his current role, particularly when his usage patterns show no signs of increasing within Detroit's rotation.