Dennis Schröder has been a consistent under play this season, hitting over his points total just 33.3% of the time across 21 games with a -1.2 average differential. The under has delivered a strong 27.3% ROI while overs have hemorrhaged value at -36.4%. This presents a clear lean under opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Schröder's struggles to exceed his points props stem from Detroit's offensive dysfunction and his diminished role compared to previous seasons. Averaging 13.19 points against a 14.36 line reveals consistent overvaluation by oddsmakers who haven't fully adjusted to his reduced scoring burden in Detroit's system. The Pistons rank near the bottom in offensive efficiency, limiting scoring opportunities for role players like Schröder. His 33.3% over rate indicates systematic underperformance rather than random variance, suggesting the market has been slow to recognize his actual output level. The -36.4% ROI on overs represents significant negative value, while unders have consistently provided profit. Schröder's recent two-game over streak appears to be noise against the broader trend, especially considering his previous six-game under streak. The German guard's age and reduced athleticism make it increasingly difficult to generate the explosive scoring performances needed to consistently clear inflated lines. Detroit's pace and offensive philosophy further constrain his upside, as the team often struggles to create quality looks in transition where Schröder historically thrived.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 27.3% ROI on unders combined with Schröder's consistent -1.2 point differential below his line creates a sustainable edge. Target games where Detroit faces strong defenses or plays on back-to-back situations where Schröder's veteran legs might show fatigue. The primary risk is a potential role expansion if Detroit trades away scoring options, but current roster construction supports continued under value.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 14.5 | 15.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 14.5 | 21.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 13.5 | 4.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 15.5 | 24.0 | +8.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 15.5 | 14.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 12.5 | 9.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 17.5 | 5.0 | -12.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 13.5 | 12.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 13.5 | 13.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 15.5 | 17.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 15.5 | 31.0 | +15.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-27 | OPP | 13.5 | 9.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-22 | OPP | 12.5 | 6.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-20 | OPP | 12.5 | 7.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-01 | OPP | 14.5 | 10.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dennis Schröder's Points prop record all games?
Dennis Schröder has gone over his points prop in just 7 of 21 games this season (33.3%), with 14 unders and no pushes. This 7-14-0 record represents one of the more consistent under trends among veteran guards.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dennis Schröder Points all games?
Bet under on Schröder's points props. The 27.3% ROI on unders combined with his -1.2 average differential below the line creates a clear edge, especially against strong defenses or in back-to-back situations.
What's Dennis Schröder's average Points all games?
Schröder averages 13.19 points per game against an average line of 14.36, creating a -1.2 differential. This consistent gap below his prop total has been the foundation of the under trend's profitability.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Schröder under props when Detroit faces top-10 defenses or plays back-to-back games where his veteran legs show fatigue. Avoid betting after Detroit trades away scoring options, as his role could expand significantly.