DeMar DeRozan's three-pointers made prop in away games presents a compelling under opportunity with a 34.6% over rate (9-17-0 record) and -0.23 differential versus the typical 0.85 line. The under delivers +24.8% ROI compared to -33.9% on overs, creating clear value for disciplined bettors.
Expert Analysis
DeRozan's road three-point struggles reflect both his traditional mid-range approach and the hostile environment's impact on perimeter shooting. Averaging just 0.62 makes per away game against an 0.85 line, DeRozan consistently falls short of market expectations. This isn't merely variance—it's systematic underperformance rooted in his shot selection philosophy and comfort level. Road venues amplify DeRozan's natural tendency to operate from familiar mid-range spots rather than extending beyond the arc. The longest under streak of 8 games demonstrates the persistence of this pattern, while even his modest over streaks max out at 3 games. With Sacramento's pace potentially increasing shot volume, the concern is whether DeRozan will allocate those extra possessions to three-point attempts or continue gravitating toward his bread-and-butter areas. However, the 26-game sample size provides robust evidence that road environments consistently suppress DeRozan's three-point frequency below market pricing, creating sustainable edge for under bettors who understand his shot profile.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. DeRozan's 0.62 road average consistently undercuts the 0.85 line, supported by strong under ROI and an 8-game maximum under streak showing pattern persistence. Target this prop when the line sits at 0.5 or higher, particularly against defensively sound teams that can force DeRozan into contested mid-range looks. Main risk is increased pace leading to more three-point volume, but his shot selection tendencies have proven remarkably consistent across road environments.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is DeMar DeRozan's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?
DeRozan posts a 9-17-0 record (34.6% overs) on three-pointers made props in away games, averaging 0.62 makes against a typical 0.85 line. This represents a significant -0.23 differential that consistently favors under bettors across 26 road contests.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on DeMar DeRozan 3-Pointers Made away games?
Bet the under on DeRozan's three-pointers made in away games. The numbers strongly support this approach with +24.8% ROI on unders versus -33.9% on overs, backed by his consistent 0.62 road average falling well short of standard lines.
What's DeMar DeRozan's average 3-Pointers Made away games?
DeRozan averages 0.62 three-pointers made in away games, running 0.23 makes below the typical 0.85 line. This consistent underperformance across 26 road games creates a measurable gap between his actual production and market expectations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target DeRozan three-point unders in road games when the line is 0.5 or higher, especially against defensively disciplined teams. His traditional shot selection and road shooting struggles create the most value when books overprice his perimeter volume expectations.