DeMar DeRozan's blocks prop in away games presents a compelling under opportunity with just 36.8% overs hitting across 19 games. His 0.53 average barely clears the typical 0.5 line, while a brutal 9-game under streak highlights consistent defensive positioning issues on the road. The under offers clear value.
Expert Analysis
DeRozan's blocks struggles away from home stem from his role as a perimeter-oriented scorer rather than a rim protector. At 6'6" playing primarily shooting guard and small forward, DeRozan lacks the size and positioning to consistently generate blocks, particularly in hostile road environments where Sacramento's defensive rotations become more predictable. His 0.53 road average represents a marginal edge over the standard 0.5 line, but the 36.8% over rate reveals how rarely he exceeds expectations. The current 9-game under streak isn't an anomaly—it reflects DeRozan's natural game limitations. Road games amplify these issues as opposing offenses attack Sacramento's defensive weaknesses more effectively, keeping DeRozan away from help-side opportunities where blocks typically occur. His advanced age (34) and focus on offensive creation further limit his defensive impact. The -29.7% ROI on overs versus +20.6% on unders quantifies the market's consistent overvaluation of his shot-blocking ability. Sacramento's pace and defensive scheme changes on the road create fewer transition opportunities where DeRozan might accumulate blocks through steals or deflections.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. DeRozan's blocks prop away from home offers consistent value based on his limited defensive role and road struggles. The 9-game under streak reflects systematic issues rather than variance, making the under the preferred play when the line sits at 0.5. Primary risk involves garbage-time opportunities or unusually aggressive defensive schemes, but his track record suggests these scenarios remain outliers in road environments.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 4.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is DeMar DeRozan's Blocks prop record away games?
DeRozan's blocks prop record in away games stands at 7-12-0 over/under across 19 games, hitting the over just 36.8% of the time. His road average of 0.53 blocks barely exceeds the typical 0.5 betting line, creating consistent under value.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on DeMar DeRozan Blocks away games?
Bet under on DeRozan's blocks props in away games. His 36.8% over rate and current 9-game under streak reflect systematic limitations in road defensive positioning. The under provides +20.6% ROI compared to -29.7% on overs.
What's DeMar DeRozan's average Blocks away games?
DeRozan averages 0.53 blocks per game in away contests, just 0.03 blocks above the standard 0.5 line. This minimal differential, combined with his 36.8% over rate, suggests the market consistently overvalues his shot-blocking ability on the road.
How reliable is this trend?
Target DeRozan blocks unders specifically in away games against teams with strong interior offenses. His defensive limitations become most pronounced on the road, where Sacramento's schemes are more predictable and he's positioned away from rim protection opportunities.