Dejounte Murray's three-point volume shows perfect equilibrium over his last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% of overs with a 5-5-0 record. His 2.6 average barely exceeds the typical 2.5 line, but negative ROI on both sides suggests this market lacks exploitable edges.
Expert Analysis
Murray's three-point shooting presents a fascinating case study in market efficiency. The 2.6 average against a 2.5 line creates a razor-thin edge that evaporates under scrutiny. His current four-game under streak mirrors an earlier four-game over streak, suggesting natural variance rather than systematic change. The -4.5% ROI on both sides indicates the juice is eating into any theoretical advantage from the small differential. Murray's role as a primary ball-handler limits his catch-and-shoot opportunities compared to pure shooters, making his three-point output heavily dependent on shot selection and game flow. Without meaningful splits data or clear usage patterns, this prop appears to be correctly priced by the market. The Pelicans' offensive system and Murray's individual shot selection create enough volatility to make this a coin flip proposition. Smart money typically avoids props this close to fair value, especially when dealing with a player whose three-point volume can fluctuate based on game script and matchup dynamics.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. This prop exemplifies a perfectly efficient market where neither side offers meaningful value. The microscopic 0.1 differential gets erased by standard juice, and the current four-game under streak feels more like natural regression than a sustainable trend. Wait for clearer edges in Murray's other prop markets or more favorable three-point lines.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 7.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dejounte Murray's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Murray has gone 5-5-0 on his three-pointers made props over his last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% of overs. He's averaging 2.6 makes against a typical 2.5 line, creating a minimal 0.1 differential that suggests fair market pricing.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dejounte Murray 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Pass on this prop entirely. The 50% over rate and negative ROI on both sides indicate perfect market efficiency. Murray's current four-game under streak appears to be natural variance rather than an exploitable trend worth betting.
What's Dejounte Murray's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Murray is averaging 2.6 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, just 0.1 above the standard 2.5 line. This microscopic edge gets completely eliminated by typical sportsbook juice, making neither side profitable long-term.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid Murray's three-point props entirely based on recent data. The market appears perfectly calibrated to his output. Focus on his other prop markets or wait for more favorable three-point lines that create meaningful separation from his average.