Dejounte Murray's three-point shooting transforms on the road, hitting overs at a 63.0% clip with a +20.2% ROI across 27 away games. His 2.63 average significantly outpaces the typical 2.31 line by 0.32 makes per game. This represents a clear statistical edge favoring the over.
Expert Analysis
Murray's road three-point production stems from fundamental changes in his offensive approach away from home. The 2.63 average versus 2.31 line creates consistent value, particularly when considering his elevated usage in road environments where the Pelicans often trail and require increased perimeter scoring. The 17-10 record demonstrates remarkable consistency over a substantial 27-game sample, suggesting this isn't random variance but a genuine tendency. Murray's comfort level as a secondary creator appears enhanced on the road, where he takes more aggressive shots within the flow of the offense. The +20.2% ROI indicates not just frequency but profitability, as books haven't fully adjusted lines to account for this split. However, the recent two-game under streak warrants attention, though it pales compared to his seven-game over streak earlier this season. The lack of extreme volatility in this prop makes it particularly appealing, as Murray rarely goes completely cold from deep but consistently finds 2-3 attempts per road contest. His three-point accuracy hasn't dramatically shifted, but his attempt rate increases meaningfully away from New Orleans, creating the perfect storm for over value.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Murray's 63.0% over rate and +0.32 average differential create legitimate value, particularly when road lines sit at 2.5 or lower. The 27-game sample provides statistical significance while the +20.2% ROI confirms profitability. Primary risk involves recent regression with two straight unders, but the underlying metrics remain sound. Target spots where Murray faces up-tempo opponents or games with higher projected totals.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 7.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Dejounte Murray props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dejounte Murray's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?
Murray's three-pointers made prop has gone over in 17 of 27 away games (63.0% rate) with a +20.2% ROI. His 10 unders include a recent two-game streak, but the overall trend strongly favors overs on the road.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dejounte Murray 3-Pointers Made away games?
Lean over on Murray's three-pointers made in away games. His 2.63 average beats the typical 2.31 line by 0.32 makes, creating consistent value. Target lines at 2.5 or lower for maximum edge in road spots.
What's Dejounte Murray's average 3-Pointers Made away games?
Murray averages 2.63 three-pointers made in away games compared to the standard 2.31 line, creating a +0.32 differential. This gap represents significant value and explains the 63.0% over rate across his road sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Murray's three-point overs in road games against up-tempo teams or when lines sit at 2.5 or below. Avoid after back-to-back games or when facing elite perimeter defenses that could limit his attempts.