Dejounte Murray has been a consistent under play in away games, hitting overs just 40.7% of the time (11-16 record) while averaging 0.8 points below his typical line. The under bet has delivered a solid 13.1% ROI across 27 games, making this a clear lean under opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Murray's road struggles stem from the Pelicans' offensive inconsistency away from the Smoothie King Center, where the team's pace and ball movement suffer significantly. His 21.15 points per game on the road represents a meaningful drop from his season averages, suggesting he's genuinely affected by hostile environments and travel fatigue. The 0.8-point differential between his performance and the betting line indicates oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to this pattern, creating value for sharp bettors. Murray's role as a secondary scorer behind Zion Williamson becomes more pronounced on the road, where the team tends to rely more heavily on isolation plays rather than the ball movement that maximizes Murray's scoring opportunities. The 22.2% negative ROI on overs tells the story of a player consistently falling short of inflated expectations. With only brief stretches of over success (longest streak just 2 games) and more sustained under runs (4-game under streak), the pattern shows remarkable consistency. This isn't a small sample anomaly but a legitimate trend rooted in how Murray's game translates to road environments where defensive intensity increases and offensive rhythm becomes harder to establish.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Murray's 40.7% over rate and -0.8 point differential create clear value on the under, especially when the line sits above 21.5 points. The ideal spot is primetime road games against defensively solid teams where the Pelicans' offensive struggles become magnified. Main risk is Murray exploding in a pace-up spot, but the consistency of this trend makes it a reliable angle for steady profit.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-24 | OPP | 18.5 | 26.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 21.5 | 19.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 22.5 | 14.0 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 23.5 | 16.0 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 26.5 | 30.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 24.5 | 19.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 25.5 | 28.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 25.5 | 13.0 | -12.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 23.5 | 23.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 22.5 | 18.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 22.5 | 20.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 21.5 | 28.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 22.5 | 19.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 21.5 | 24.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-24 | OPP | 26.5 | 23.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dejounte Murray's Points prop record away games?
Murray's points prop record in away games stands at 11-16-0 over/under (40.7% overs). He's averaging 21.15 points per game on the road, consistently falling short of his typical betting lines by nearly a full point.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dejounte Murray Points away games?
Bet the under on Murray's points in away games. The 40.7% over rate and 13.1% ROI on unders create clear value, especially when lines exceed 21.5 points in road environments where his scoring consistently drops.
What's Dejounte Murray's average Points away games?
Murray averages 21.15 points in away games, which runs 0.8 points below his typical betting line of 21.91. This differential represents genuine value since oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his road struggles throughout the season.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Murray points unders in primetime road games against solid defensive teams. The combination of hostile environment, increased defensive intensity, and the Pelicans' reduced offensive flow creates optimal conditions for under bets to cash consistently.