Dejounte Murray's blocks props have been a goldmine for under bettors, hitting just 30% over rate across his last 10 games with a devastating -42.7% ROI on overs. Murray's averaging 0.4 blocks against a 0.5 line, creating consistent value on the under side with +33.6% returns.
Expert Analysis
Murray's blocks struggles stem from his role evolution in New Orleans, where he's primarily tasked with perimeter defense and ball-handling duties rather than help defense. The 0.4 average against a 0.5 line reveals books haven't fully adjusted to his diminished shot-blocking impact since joining the Pelicans. His longest under streak reached five games, demonstrating the persistence of this trend rather than random variance. The sample size of 10 games provides meaningful data, especially considering Murray's consistent role and usage patterns. What makes this particularly compelling is the stark contrast between his occasional spike games and the overwhelming frequency of under results. Murray's defensive positioning has shifted toward guarding primary ball-handlers and fighting through screens, leaving fewer opportunities for weak-side blocks. The Pelicans' defensive scheme emphasizes switching and staying attached to shooters, further reducing Murray's help defense responsibilities. This isn't a temporary slump but a systematic change in how Murray impacts games defensively. The 30% over rate isn't just poor luck—it reflects a fundamental mismatch between the betting line and Murray's actual role.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Murray's 0.4 average creates a meaningful edge against the 0.5 line, supported by strong under ROI and role-based reasoning. The trend shows persistence with a five-game under streak, suggesting this isn't variance. Primary risk is an uptempo game where Murray sees increased defensive possessions, but his perimeter-focused role limits block opportunities regardless of pace.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dejounte Murray's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Murray has gone over his blocks prop just 3 times in his last 10 games (30% over rate) with a 3-7-0 record. Under bettors have profited with +33.6% ROI while overs lost -42.7%, making this one of the more lopsided trends in player props.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dejounte Murray Blocks last 10 games?
Bet the under on Murray's blocks props. His 0.4 average against typical 0.5 lines creates mathematical value, supported by role-based factors and a 70% under hit rate. The +33.6% under ROI demonstrates consistent profitability over meaningful sample size.
What's Dejounte Murray's average Blocks last 10 games?
Murray is averaging 0.4 blocks over his last 10 games, sitting 0.1 blocks below the typical 0.5 line. This differential might seem small, but it's created significant betting value with unders hitting 70% of the time in this sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Murray blocks unders in any game situation, as his role-based limitations transcend matchup specifics. The edge is strongest when books haven't adjusted the line below 0.5, though avoid games with extreme pace where additional possessions might create variance.