Dejounte Murray's blocks prop presents a clear under opportunity, hitting just 31.8% overs across 22 games with a -0.14 differential versus the standard 0.5 line. The under shows 30.2% ROI while overs hemorrhage at -39.3%. Murray's defensive positioning and role make this a sustainable edge.
Expert Analysis
Dejounte Murray's blocks production reveals a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and reality. At 0.36 blocks per game against a 0.5 line, Murray consistently falls short by meaningful margins. This isn't random variance—it's structural. As a point guard in New Orleans' system, Murray operates primarily on the perimeter, focusing on steals and ball pressure rather than rim protection. His 6'4" frame and guard responsibilities keep him away from the paint where blocks naturally occur. The 68.2% under rate across 22 games demonstrates remarkable consistency, with Murray recording multiple under streaks of 5+ games. His longest over streak reached just 2 games, highlighting how difficult it is for him to sustain elevated block production. The -39.3% ROI on overs tells the complete story—this line consistently overvalues Murray's shot-blocking ability. Unlike rebounds or assists where guards can find creative ways to accumulate stats, blocks require specific positioning and matchup dynamics that rarely favor perimeter players. Murray's defensive value comes through disrupting passing lanes and creating turnovers, not altering shots at the rim. This fundamental role limitation makes the under a high-conviction play with minimal regression risk.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Murray's 0.36 average against the 0.5 line creates a structural edge that's unlikely to disappear. His perimeter-focused role limits block opportunities, making this one of the more predictable props in the market. The 68.2% under rate across 22 games shows remarkable consistency. Target this prop in all game situations, as Murray's defensive responsibilities don't vary significantly by opponent or game script.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dejounte Murray's Blocks prop record all games?
Murray's blocks prop record shows 7 overs and 15 unders across 22 games, hitting just 31.8% overs. This translates to a 68.2% under rate with his 0.36 average falling 0.14 blocks short of the typical 0.5 line consistently.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dejounte Murray Blocks all games?
Bet the under on Murray's blocks prop. His 0.36 average versus the 0.5 line creates a clear edge, with unders showing 30.2% ROI while overs lose 39.3%. His perimeter role limits block opportunities significantly.
What's Dejounte Murray's average Blocks all games?
Murray averages 0.36 blocks per game, which falls 0.14 blocks short of the standard 0.5 line. This consistent shortfall across 22 games creates a reliable betting edge for under bettors seeking predictable value.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Murray's blocks under in all game situations. His perimeter defensive role doesn't change based on opponent or game script. The structural mismatch between his 0.36 average and 0.5 line remains consistent regardless of matchup dynamics.