Dejounte Murray's assists prop away from home presents a slight under edge, hitting just 48.1% overs across 27 games with a -8.1% ROI on overs versus -1.0% on unders. His 6.93 average barely exceeds typical lines, creating marginal value on the under.
Expert Analysis
Murray's road assist numbers reveal a player whose playmaking becomes slightly more constrained away from the Smoothie King Center. The 48.1% over rate across 27 games suggests books have found the sweet spot on his lines, but the -8.1% ROI on overs tells a clearer story about where the value lies. His 6.93 road average sits just 0.24 assists above typical lines, indicating sportsbooks are pricing him accurately but perhaps a touch optimistically. The current two-game under streak aligns with the broader pattern of Murray falling short of inflated expectations on the road. Away games naturally present additional variables that can impact assist totals - unfamiliar rims affecting shooting percentages, different crowd energy levels, and subtle timing disruptions that come with road environments. Murray's assist production has historically been more volatile than his scoring, making these props particularly sensitive to game flow and teammate shooting variance. The Pelicans' offensive system relies heavily on Murray's facilitation, but road games often see teams tighten rotations and rely more on isolation plays, potentially limiting his assist opportunities. With no significant split advantages apparent in his profile, the slight mathematical edge favors the under, particularly given the negative ROI pattern on overs.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The combination of a 48.1% over rate and -8.1% ROI on overs creates a sustainable edge for under bettors. Murray's road assist average of 6.93 barely exceeds typical lines, suggesting books are pricing him at his ceiling rather than his median performance. Target unders when lines sit at 7.0 or higher, as his road environment constraints make those numbers difficult to consistently reach.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-24 | OPP | 7.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 7.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 8.5 | 12.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 8.5 | 4.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 9.5 | 7.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 8.5 | 15.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 8.5 | 12.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 8.5 | 10.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 7.5 | 11.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 7.5 | 9.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 7.5 | 11.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 8.5 | 5.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 5.5 | 7.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 5.5 | 9.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-24 | OPP | 7.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Assists Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dejounte Murray's Assists prop record away games?
Murray's assists prop record in away games stands at 13-14-0 over/under across 27 games, translating to a 48.1% over rate. This below-average hit rate has produced a -8.1% ROI for over bettors while under bettors have seen just -1.0% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dejounte Murray Assists away games?
Lean under on Murray's assists props in away games. The 48.1% over rate combined with -8.1% ROI on overs creates a mathematical edge for under bettors, particularly when lines are set at 7.0 or higher where his 6.93 road average struggles to reach.
What's Dejounte Murray's average Assists away games?
Murray averages 6.93 assists in away games, which sits 0.24 assists above typical betting lines. This minimal differential suggests sportsbooks are pricing him near his ceiling performance rather than his median, creating slight value on under bets.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Murray's assists unders when lines are set at 7.0 or higher in away games. Road environments naturally constrain his playmaking opportunities, and the historical data shows consistent value betting against inflated lines in these situations.