Dejounte Murray has hit the over on assists props at a 51.6% clip (16-15-0 record) across 31 games, averaging 7.19 assists against a 6.69 line for a +0.5 differential. The slight edge toward overs combined with his playmaking consistency makes this a lean over situation.
Expert Analysis
Murray's assists production reveals a player whose floor-general skills translate consistently at the NBA level, even in a new system with New Orleans. The 7.19 average against a 6.69 line suggests books are undervaluing his playmaking impact by half an assist per game. This isn't coincidental—Murray has established himself as a primary facilitator who creates for teammates regardless of game script. The 51.6% over rate indicates mild positive expected value, though the -1.5% ROI on overs shows the market has adjusted somewhat to his production levels. What's encouraging is the lack of dramatic volatility in his assist numbers, suggesting his role as the primary ball-handler remains stable. The Pelicans' pace and offensive system appear to suit Murray's skill set, allowing him to rack up assists through both half-court sets and transition opportunities. His longest over streak of six games demonstrates he can sustain elevated playmaking for extended periods, while the current one-game under streak suggests potential regression back toward his season average. The key factor working in Murray's favor is his usage rate and the team's reliance on his court vision to generate offense.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Murray's +0.5 differential above the typical line provides a mathematical edge that's held up over 31 games. The 51.6% hit rate isn't overwhelming, but it's profitable when combined with his consistent role as New Orleans' primary facilitator. The main risk is potential load management or blowout games affecting his minutes, but his floor-general responsibilities make him less volatile than scoring props.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-24 | OPP | 7.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-27 | OPP | 8.5 | 9.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 7.5 | 15.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 7.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-07 | OPP | 5.5 | 5.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 8.5 | 12.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 8.5 | 4.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 9.5 | 7.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 8.5 | 15.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 8.5 | 12.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 8.5 | 10.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 7.5 | 11.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 7.5 | 9.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 7.5 | 11.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 8.5 | 5.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Find the Best Assists Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dejounte Murray's Assists prop record all games?
Murray has gone over his assists prop in 16 of 31 games (51.6%) with a 16-15-0 record. He's averaging 7.19 assists per game against a typical line of 6.69, creating a +0.5 differential that favors over bets.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dejounte Murray Assists all games?
Lean over on Murray's assists props. His 7.19 average beats the 6.69 line consistently, and his role as New Orleans' primary facilitator provides a stable floor. The 51.6% over rate offers slight positive expected value.
What's Dejounte Murray's average Assists all games?
Murray averages 7.19 assists per game this season, which is 0.5 assists above his typical prop line of 6.69. This differential has held steady across 31 games, suggesting books are undervaluing his playmaking impact.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Murray assists overs when he's healthy and in his normal role as primary ball-handler. Avoid back-to-back situations or potential blowouts where his minutes might be limited, as his assist production is tied directly to playing time.