Deandre Ayton shows a clear edge on blocks props with one day of rest, hitting the over in 57.1% of games (12-9 record) while averaging 0.81 blocks against a typical 0.74 line. The +9.1% ROI on overs suggests sustainable value when Portland's center gets standard rest between games.
Expert Analysis
Ayton's blocks production benefits meaningfully from standard rest patterns, with his 0.81 average representing a 9.5% boost over the typical 0.74 line. This edge stems from his rim protection being heavily dependent on positioning and timing, both of which suffer when he's playing on back-to-backs or extended rest that disrupts rhythm. The 57.1% over rate across 21 games provides sufficient sample size to establish pattern reliability, while the +9.1% ROI demonstrates the market hasn't fully adjusted to this rest advantage. Ayton's shot-blocking has always been more about anticipation than raw athleticism, making the mental sharpness that comes with proper rest particularly valuable. The consistency is notable—his longest under streak spans just two games, suggesting he rarely goes cold for extended periods with standard rest. Portland's defensive scheme also benefits from Ayton being properly positioned, as their switching system relies on his ability to recover and contest at the rim. The lack of dramatic variance in his performance suggests this isn't a small-sample fluke but rather a legitimate physiological response to optimal recovery time.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Ayton's 57.1% over rate with one day rest reflects genuine value, particularly when lines sit around 0.5-1.0 blocks. The key advantage lies in his improved positioning and timing with proper rest, making him more effective as Portland's primary rim protector. Main risk is variance in opponent offensive style, as teams that avoid the paint can limit his opportunities regardless of rest status.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Deandre Ayton's Blocks prop record 1 day rest?
Deandre Ayton's blocks prop record with one day rest is 12-9-0 over/under (57.1% overs) across 21 games from November 2023 to February 2025, generating a +9.1% ROI on over bets.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Deandre Ayton Blocks 1 day rest?
Lean over on Ayton's blocks props with one day rest. His 57.1% over rate and 0.81 average versus 0.74 typical lines show consistent value, especially when props sit at 0.5-1.0 blocks.
What's Deandre Ayton's average Blocks 1 day rest?
Ayton averages 0.81 blocks with one day rest compared to the typical 0.74 line, representing a +0.07 differential that translates to meaningful betting value over his 21-game sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Ayton's blocks props when Portland has exactly one day rest, particularly against teams that attack the rim frequently. Avoid when facing perimeter-heavy offenses that limit his shot-blocking opportunities.