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5-5 O/U Record
50.0% Over Rate
-0.5u Units Won
-4.5% ROI
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De'Aaron Fox's assists props show neutral territory over his last 10 games, hitting the over exactly 50% of the time with a modest 0.3 assist edge over the typical 6.2 line. The flat ROI and balanced 5-5 record suggest no clear betting advantage in either direction.

Expert Analysis

Fox's recent assists production reveals a player operating right at market expectations, which creates a challenging betting environment. The 6.5 average against a 6.2 line represents minimal value, while the perfectly balanced 5-5 over/under record indicates efficient market pricing. What's concerning for bettors is the lack of exploitable patterns - Fox isn't consistently exceeding or falling short of expectations in any meaningful way. The current single-game over streak follows a three-game under run, highlighting the choppy nature of his recent playmaking output. Without clear split advantages or situational edges, this becomes a coin-flip proposition where the juice works against you. The -4.5% ROI on both sides confirms what the balanced record suggests: the market has Fox's assists props dialed in accurately. His role as a primary facilitator should provide a stable floor, but the ceiling appears capped by team dynamics and game flow factors that aren't consistently pushing him over inflated lines. The absence of meaningful trends in pace, usage, or matchup-specific performance makes this a pass-worthy situation where patience serves bettors better than action.

Betting Verdict

PASS with LOW confidence. Fox's perfectly balanced 5-5 record and minimal 0.3 edge over the line indicate efficient market pricing with no clear advantage. The -4.5% ROI on both sides confirms this is a break-even proposition where the juice becomes your primary opponent. Wait for clearer situational edges or more favorable line movement before engaging Fox's assists props.

5 OVERS (50.0%)
5 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 10 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2025-03-01 OPP 6.5 7.0 +0.5 OVER
2025-02-21 OPP 6.5 5.0 -1.5 UNDER
2025-02-10 OPP 6.5 6.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-11 OPP 5.5 8.0 +2.5 OVER
2024-04-04 OPP 6.5 7.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-03-26 OPP 5.5 3.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-03-21 OPP 6.5 5.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-03-20 OPP 6.5 5.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-03-18 OPP 6.5 10.0 +3.5 OVER
2024-03-16 OPP 5.5 9.0 +3.5 OVER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 0.0% Over
Away 55.6% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 60.0% Over
Last 10 —% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is De'Aaron Fox's Assists prop record last 10 games?

Fox has gone 5-5 on assists overs in his last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% with an average of 6.5 assists against a typical 6.2 line, showing perfectly balanced recent performance.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on De'Aaron Fox Assists last 10 games?

Pass on Fox's assists props currently. The balanced 5-5 record and -4.5% ROI on both sides indicate efficient market pricing with no clear edge in either direction worth betting.

What's De'Aaron Fox's average Assists last 10 games?

Fox is averaging 6.5 assists over his last 10 games compared to his typical 6.2 line, creating only a minimal 0.3 assist edge that's insufficient for profitable betting opportunities.

How reliable is this trend?

Wait for specific matchup advantages or line movement before betting Fox's assists. Current market efficiency requires situational edges like pace-up spots or injury-related usage increases to find value.

Methodology: This analysis covers 10 games from 2024-03-16 to 2025-03-01. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.