Overall Points: 31-43-0 O/U
41.9%
Over Rate
24.11
Avg PTS
25.31
Avg Line
-1.2
Avg vs Line
-20.0%
Over ROI
74
Games
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER
Points Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Points Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 31-43 | 41.9% | 25.31 | 24.11 | -20.0% |
| Away Games | 12-23 | 34.3% | 24.87 | 23.03 | -34.5% |
| Back-to-Back Games | 10-9 | 52.6% | 25.66 | 27.0 | +0.5% |
| Home Games | 19-20 | 48.7% | 25.71 | 25.08 | -7.0% |
| Last 10 Games | 5-5 | 50.0% | 24.0 | 25.0 | -4.5% |
| 1 Day Rest | 16-26 | 38.1% | 25.24 | 23.14 | -27.3% |
| 2+ Days Rest | 5-8 | 38.5% | 25.04 | 23.0 | -26.6% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
48.7% Over
Away
34.3% Over
By Line Range
Line < 23.5
—% Over
Line > 27.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
50.0% Over
Other Damian Lillard Props
Milwaukee Bucks Team Trends
View ATS records and betting trends
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Damian Lillard's overall Points prop record?
Damian Lillard is 31-43 O/U on Points props across all situations (41.9% over rate).
When does Damian Lillard go OVER on Points the most?
Damian Lillard's best Points situation is Back-to-Back Games, where they hit the over 52.6% of the time.
What's Damian Lillard's average Points per game?
Damian Lillard averages 24.11 PTS per game vs an average line of 25.31.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Away Games is Damian Lillard's worst Points situation at just 34.3% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 74 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.