Damian Lillard's blocks prop presents one of the season's most reliable under opportunities, hitting just 23.5% of overs across 51 games. His 0.25 average sits significantly below the standard 0.5 line, generating exceptional under value with +46.0% ROI. This is a high-confidence under play.
Expert Analysis
Lillard's blocks production reflects the reality of modern point guard defense and Milwaukee's defensive scheme. At 6'2" and primarily focused on offensive creation, Lillard lacks the physical tools and positioning to consistently generate blocks. His 0.25 average represents exactly half the typical 0.5 line, creating immediate mathematical value on unders. The 17-game under streak earlier this season demonstrates just how rarely Lillard reaches even one block, as his defensive responsibilities center on ball pressure and help rotations rather than shot-blocking. Milwaukee's defensive system, anchored by Brook Lopez's rim protection, doesn't require Lillard to gamble for blocks. His offensive workload averaging 35+ minutes of high-usage creation further limits energy for aggressive defensive plays. The 23.5% over rate across 51 games represents a massive sample size that accounts for various game scripts, opponents, and situations. While guards can occasionally spike blocks through steals or help defense, Lillard's consistent under production suggests this isn't variance but rather his true talent level in this category.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Lillard's blocks production is fundamentally limited by his size, role, and defensive responsibilities. The 0.25 average versus 0.5 line creates immediate mathematical advantage, while the 76.5% under rate across 51 games provides overwhelming statistical support. Target this prop consistently, as Milwaukee's defensive scheme and Lillard's offensive workload make blocks an afterthought in his game.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Damian Lillard's Blocks prop record all games?
Damian Lillard's blocks prop record stands at 12-39-0 over/under across 51 games, hitting just 23.5% of overs. This represents one of the season's most lopsided prop records with exceptional under consistency.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Damian Lillard Blocks all games?
Bet under on Damian Lillard's blocks props with high confidence. His 0.25 average sits well below the 0.5 line, creating immediate value with a proven 76.5% under rate across 51 games.
What's Damian Lillard's average Blocks all games?
Damian Lillard averages 0.25 blocks per game, exactly half the standard 0.5 line. This significant differential creates consistent mathematical advantage for under bettors throughout the season.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Damian Lillard's blocks under consistently across all game situations. His defensive role and physical limitations make this prop reliable regardless of opponent, pace, or game script factors.