Fade UNDER
3-8 O/U Record
27.3% Over Rate
-5.3u Units Won
-47.9% ROI
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Cody Martin's points props present a compelling under opportunity with just 27.3% overs across 11 games. Martin averages 6.91 points against an 8.5 line, creating a significant 1.6-point gap that has delivered +38.8% ROI on unders. This trend shows strong consistency with a recent 6-game under streak.

Expert Analysis

The mathematics behind Cody Martin's points underperformance reveal a systematic market mispricing. At 6.91 points per game against an 8.5 line, Martin falls short by nearly 19% consistently, suggesting the market hasn't adjusted to his reduced offensive role in Charlotte's rotation. This isn't merely a cold streak—it reflects Martin's evolution into a defensive specialist whose primary value lies in versatility and switchability rather than scoring production. The 47.9% loss rate on overs indicates bettors are chasing name recognition rather than analyzing actual usage patterns. Martin's offensive limitations become magnified when Charlotte's pace slows or when he's matched against physical defenders who can neutralize his limited shot creation. The persistence of this trend across diverse game situations suggests fundamental role constraints rather than temporary variance. Most concerning for over bettors is Martin's lack of reliable scoring mechanisms—he's neither a consistent three-point threat nor an effective driver, leaving him dependent on opportunistic baskets that rarely materialize consistently. The market's failure to adjust this line downward represents a clear inefficiency that sharp bettors should exploit.

Betting Verdict

UNDER with HIGH confidence. The 1.6-point differential between Martin's actual production and the betting line represents a substantial edge that has proven sustainable across multiple game situations. Target this prop when Charlotte faces elite defenses or in lower-scoring environments where Martin's limited offensive repertoire becomes even more constrained. The primary risk is garbage-time scoring in blowouts, but Martin's defensive-first role limits his floor time in such scenarios.

3 OVERS (27.3%)
8 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 11 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-03-01 OPP 7.5 12.0 +4.5 OVER
2024-02-29 OPP 7.5 5.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-02-27 OPP 8.5 2.0 -6.5 UNDER
2024-02-25 OPP 9.5 11.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-02-23 OPP 7.5 7.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-22 OPP 8.5 5.0 -3.5 UNDER
2024-02-14 OPP 8.5 6.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-02-09 OPP 11.5 5.0 -6.5 UNDER
2024-02-02 OPP 8.5 7.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-01-31 OPP 9.5 7.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-01-27 OPP 6.5 9.0 +2.5 OVER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 25.0% Over
Away 28.6% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 40.0% Over
Last 10 20.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Cody Martin's Points prop record all games?

Cody Martin's points prop record stands at 3-8-0 over/under across 11 games, hitting the over just 27.3% of the time. This represents one of the most consistent under trends among rotation players, with under bets generating a +38.8% return on investment.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Cody Martin Points all games?

Bet under on Cody Martin's points props with high confidence. His 6.91 scoring average consistently falls short of typical 8.5 lines by 1.6 points, creating a sustainable edge that has delivered +38.8% ROI on under bets across 11 games.

What's Cody Martin's average Points all games?

Cody Martin averages 6.91 points per game, which falls 1.6 points below the standard 8.5 betting line. This significant gap represents an 18.8% underperformance that reflects his defensive-focused role rather than temporary shooting struggles or bad luck.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Cody Martin points unders when Charlotte faces strong defenses or in projected lower-scoring games where his limited offensive skills become more constrained. Avoid during potential blowouts where garbage-time minutes could inflate his scoring opportunities unexpectedly.

Methodology: This analysis covers 11 games from 2024-01-27 to 2024-03-01. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.