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10-27 O/U Record
27.0% Over Rate
-17.9u Units Won
-48.4% ROI
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Coby White's three-pointers made prop at home presents one of the most reliable under opportunities in the NBA, going under at a 73% clip across 37 games. With White averaging 2.3 makes against a typical 2.66 line, the under has delivered exceptional 39.3% ROI while overs hemorrhage money at -48.4%.

Expert Analysis

The United Center has become Coby White's three-point kryptonite, creating a systematic edge that defies his reputation as a volume shooter. White's 2.3 home average sits 0.36 makes below the standard line, a gap that compounds over time when betting the under consistently. The 27% over rate isn't just poor—it's historically bad for a primary ball-handler getting consistent minutes. This trend likely stems from Chicago's altered offensive flow at home, where crowd energy often leads to rushed possessions and White forcing shots early in the clock rather than working into rhythm. The Bulls' home pace and defensive schemes may also contribute, as teams adjust their rotations knowing White's tendencies in familiar surroundings. Most telling is the 13-game under streak that occurred during this sample, suggesting this isn't random variance but a genuine home court disadvantage for White's three-point production. While regression toward league norms is always possible, the sample size and consistency of underperformance indicate structural factors at play rather than simple bad luck.

Betting Verdict

UNDER with HIGH confidence. White's home three-point struggles represent a clear market inefficiency, with the under hitting 73% of the time while providing nearly 40% ROI. The ideal spot comes when the line sits at 2.5 or higher, maximizing value on what appears to be a persistent home court disadvantage. The primary risk is White eventually breaking through with a hot shooting night, but the sample size and consistency make this one of the stronger prop trends available.

10 OVERS (27.0%)
27 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 15 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2025-03-29 OPP 3.5 2.0 -1.5 UNDER
2025-02-11 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2025-01-06 OPP 2.5 3.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-11-23 OPP 3.5 2.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-11-17 OPP 3.5 2.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-10-26 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-04-09 OPP 2.5 2.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-05 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-04-01 OPP 2.5 2.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-27 OPP 2.5 2.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-25 OPP 2.5 2.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-23 OPP 2.5 1.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-03-11 OPP 2.5 1.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-03-01 OPP 2.5 2.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-02-28 OPP 2.5 2.0 -0.5 UNDER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 27.0% Over
Away 50.0% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 20.0% Over
Last 10 10.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Coby White's 3-Pointers Made prop record home games?

Coby White's three-pointers made prop at home shows a 10-27-0 record, meaning the over has hit just 27% of the time across 37 games. This represents one of the most lopsided under trends for any regular rotation player in the NBA this season.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Coby White 3-Pointers Made home games?

Bet the under on Coby White's three-pointers made at home games. The 73% under rate with 39.3% ROI makes this a high-confidence play, especially when the line is set at 2.5 or higher given his 2.3 home average.

What's Coby White's average 3-Pointers Made home games?

Coby White averages 2.3 three-pointers made in home games, which sits 0.36 makes below the typical 2.66 line. This consistent gap between his actual production and market expectations creates the foundation for profitable under betting.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Coby White three-pointers made unders when Chicago plays at home with lines of 2.5 or higher. Avoid after long road trips when he might be due for positive regression, but otherwise this represents a consistent edge throughout the season.

Methodology: This analysis covers 37 games from 2023-10-25 to 2025-03-29. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.