Coby White shows a modest edge on steals props with extended rest, hitting the over at a 54.5% clip (6-5 record) while averaging 0.82 steals against a typical 0.5 line. The +0.3 differential and positive over ROI suggest lean over value.
Expert Analysis
The steals trend for Coby White with extended rest reveals a player who benefits from the mental sharpness that comes with proper recovery time. White's 0.82 average against the standard 0.5 line represents a significant 64% edge, indicating bookmakers may be undervaluing his defensive activity after rest. The 54.5% over rate isn't overwhelming, but combined with the +4.1% over ROI versus -13.2% under ROI, it paints a picture of consistent value on the over side. White's role as a primary ball-handler means he's frequently in passing lanes, and the extended rest likely allows him to maintain the energy needed for active hands throughout the game. The sample size of 11 games spanning nearly four months provides reasonable confidence in the pattern's legitimacy. However, the modest over percentage suggests this isn't a lock situation but rather a slight edge that requires proper line shopping and bankroll management. The fact that steals are inherently volatile makes this more of a volume play than a single-game crusher.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. White's 0.82 average represents strong value against the typical 0.5 line, supported by positive over ROI and a reasonable hit rate. The edge is most pronounced when he's rested and engaged defensively. Main risk is the inherent volatility of steals props and the modest 54.5% success rate requiring disciplined bankroll management.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 11 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Coby White's Steals prop record 2+ days rest?
Coby White's steals record with 2+ days rest stands at 6-5-0 over/under (54.5% overs) across 11 games from December 2023 to April 2024, showing modest but consistent over value.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Coby White Steals 2+ days rest?
Lean over on Coby White steals with extended rest. His 0.82 average creates significant value against the 0.5 line, supported by positive over ROI and reasonable hit rate requiring disciplined volume approach.
What's Coby White's average Steals 2+ days rest?
White averages 0.82 steals with 2+ days rest compared to the typical 0.5 line, creating a +0.3 differential that represents 64% value over the standard betting threshold.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Coby White steals overs when he has 2+ days rest and the line is 0.5. Avoid after back-to-backs or when Chicago faces pace-down opponents that limit transition opportunities.