Coby White's steals prop on one day rest presents a compelling under opportunity, hitting just 39.4% of the time across 33 games. With a -24.8% ROI on overs versus +15.7% on unders and currently riding a modest under streak, the data strongly favors betting under.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a clear story about Coby White's defensive activity on limited rest. His 0.61 average against a 0.56 line creates only a marginal +0.1 edge, but the 39.4% over rate reveals consistent underperformance relative to market expectations. This trend likely stems from the physical demands of perimeter defense on shortened rest. Steals require quick reactions, anticipation, and aggressive positioning—all attributes that suffer when players are managing fatigue. White's role as a primary offensive initiator for Chicago means his energy allocation shifts toward ball-handling and scoring responsibilities when tired, naturally reducing his defensive gambling for steals. The sustainability of this trend appears strong given its large sample size and the physiological reality that defensive intensity typically decreases before offensive production. The -24.8% ROI on overs demonstrates the market consistently overvalues White's steal production in these spots, while the +15.7% under ROI confirms the exploitable nature of this inefficiency. With White currently on a modest under streak and no concerning regression patterns visible, this represents one of the more reliable player prop edges available.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 39.4% over rate across 33 games provides a meaningful sample size favoring under bets, while the positive under ROI confirms market inefficiency. Target this prop when White is on exactly one day rest, particularly in games where Chicago faces defensive-minded opponents that limit transition opportunities. The primary risk involves potential lineup changes or blowout scenarios that could increase White's defensive aggressiveness.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Coby White's Steals prop record 1 day rest?
Coby White's steals prop on one day rest shows a 13-20-0 over/under record (39.4% overs) across 33 games from November 2023 through March 2025, demonstrating consistent underperformance against market expectations.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Coby White Steals 1 day rest?
Bet under on Coby White's steals when he has one day rest. The 39.4% over rate and +15.7% under ROI across 33 games creates a clear edge favoring under bets in these specific rest situations.
What's Coby White's average Steals 1 day rest?
Coby White averages 0.61 steals on one day rest compared to typical lines around 0.56, creating only a marginal +0.1 differential that fails to justify the over rate expectations built into the market.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Coby White's steals props specifically on one day rest scenarios, especially against defensive teams that limit fast-break opportunities. Avoid during potential blowouts where garbage time could inflate his defensive activity artificially.