Coby White's home rebounds show marginal value with a 48.6% over rate (18-19-0) and 4.57 average versus 4.09 line. The slight under edge (-2.0% ROI) lacks conviction given the minimal 0.48-rebound differential and break-even performance.
Expert Analysis
Coby White's home rebounding presents a statistically neutral proposition that borders on a coin flip. His 4.57 average against a 4.09 line creates a modest 0.48-rebound cushion, but the 48.6% over rate suggests books have accurately priced this market. The guard's rebounding production at home lacks the volatility or systematic edge that creates profitable betting opportunities. White's role as a primary ball-handler limits his crashing opportunities, particularly at home where the Bulls often control pace and possess more efficiently. The -7.1% ROI on overs indicates the market slightly overvalues his ceiling performances, while the -2.0% under ROI suggests minimal edge exists either direction. Without meaningful splits data or identifiable patterns in his rebounding based on matchup factors like opponent pace or size, this becomes a volume-dependent play rather than a skill-based edge. The balanced 5-game streaks in both directions reinforce the randomness inherent in guard rebounding props. Home court advantage typically benefits offensive rebounding through familiarity with rim bounces, but White's perimeter-oriented role minimizes this factor. The sample size of 37 games provides adequate data confidence, but the lack of directional bias makes this a pass for value-seeking bettors.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. The near-even 48.6% over rate and minimal ROI edges (-7.1% over, -2.0% under) indicate an efficiently priced market without exploitable value. While White averages 4.57 rebounds against a 4.09 line, the small differential and balanced performance history suggest this prop lacks the systematic edge required for profitable long-term betting.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 11.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-11 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 7.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 4.5 | 8.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Coby White's Rebounds prop record home games?
Coby White has gone over his rebounds prop in 18 of 37 home games (48.6% rate) with 19 unders and no pushes. His record shows slightly more under results, creating a marginal edge for under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Coby White Rebounds home games?
Pass on Coby White's home rebounds props. The 48.6% over rate and negative ROI in both directions (-7.1% over, -2.0% under) indicate an efficiently priced market without exploitable edges for consistent profit.
What's Coby White's average Rebounds home games?
Coby White averages 4.57 rebounds in home games compared to his typical 4.09 line. The 0.48-rebound difference provides a modest cushion, but the near-even over rate suggests this edge is already priced into the market.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid betting Coby White's rebounds props consistently. The balanced performance history and lack of identifiable patterns make this a variance-driven market. Focus on props with clearer directional edges and systematic factors driving performance.