Coby White's points props show a perfectly balanced 5-5 over/under record across his last 10 games, but the -1.6 point differential between his 20.4 average and typical 22.0 lines reveals consistent underperformance. With negative ROI on both sides and two consecutive unders, the data suggests a slight lean toward the under.
Expert Analysis
The 50% over rate masks a more concerning trend for over bettors—White is averaging 1.6 points below his typical closing lines, indicating the market may be overvaluing his scoring output. This differential suggests either declining efficiency, reduced usage, or matchup-specific challenges that aren't being properly priced in. The current two-game under streak, while modest, aligns with the broader pattern of underperformance relative to expectations. What's particularly notable is the negative ROI on both sides, indicating poor line value regardless of direction. This often occurs when a player is in transition—either adjusting to a new role, dealing with minor injury management, or facing a string of difficult defensive matchups. The balanced win-loss record suggests White isn't completely broken as a scorer, but rather that his ceiling has been capped recently. The longest streaks of just two games in either direction indicate volatility without clear directional momentum, making this a challenging prop to attack with conviction.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The -1.6 point differential between White's recent average and typical lines provides the clearest edge, suggesting oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his current scoring level. The two-game under streak and negative ROI on overs reinforce this lean. Target unders when lines approach 22+ points, but avoid heavy investment given the balanced record and moderate sample size.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-31 | OPP | 24.5 | 7.0 | -17.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 25.5 | 25.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-24 | OPP | 23.5 | 37.0 | +13.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-17 | OPP | 24.5 | 26.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-15 | OPP | 24.5 | 23.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-11 | OPP | 20.5 | 5.0 | -15.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-02 | OPP | 19.5 | 22.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-06 | OPP | 18.5 | 23.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-23 | OPP | 19.5 | 11.0 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-18 | OPP | 19.5 | 25.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Coby White's Points prop record last 10 games?
Coby White has gone 5-5 on points overs in his last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% of his overs. He's averaging 20.4 points per game during this stretch, showing balanced but slightly underwhelming performance relative to market expectations.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Coby White Points last 10 games?
Lean under on White's points props. His 20.4 average trails typical 22.0 lines by 1.6 points, and he's currently on a two-game under streak. The negative ROI on overs suggests the market hasn't adjusted to his recent scoring level.
What's Coby White's average Points last 10 games?
White is averaging 20.4 points over his last 10 games, which sits 1.6 points below the typical 22.0 closing line. This consistent underperformance relative to market expectations represents the strongest angle for bettors targeting his props.
How reliable is this trend?
Target White's points unders when lines reach 22+ points, as his recent 20.4 average suggests overvaluation. Avoid betting during back-to-back situations or against weak defenses where his ceiling could be artificially elevated despite the underlying trend.