Coby White's points props present a clear under bias with just 46.6% overs across 73 games. His 19.3 average sits 0.5 points below typical lines, generating positive 2.0% ROI on unders while overs lose -11.1%. The data strongly favors the under.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a compelling picture for Coby White under bettors. His 34-39 over/under record represents a meaningful sample size that reveals consistent line inflation by oddsmakers. The 0.5-point gap between his 19.3 season average and the typical 19.84 line might seem small, but it's created sustainable value on the under side. This differential suggests books are pricing White based on his ceiling rather than his median performance, a common trap with young guards who show explosive scoring potential but lack consistency. The -11.1% ROI on overs tells the story of bettors chasing White's highlight performances while ignoring his more frequent modest outputs. His role as Chicago's secondary scorer behind DeMar DeRozan and Nikola Vucevic creates natural scoring variance, but the data shows he more often falls short of inflated expectations than exceeds them. The current two-game under streak aligns with the broader pattern, though his previous seven-game over run shows he can get hot. However, regression mathematics favor the under given the sample size and consistent line overvaluation.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 2.0% ROI on unders combined with White's consistent underperformance versus his line creates a sustainable edge. Target games where Chicago faces strong perimeter defenses or when White's usage might decrease due to teammate health. The main risk is his explosive scoring ability during hot streaks, but the 73-game sample suggests these are outliers rather than the norm.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-31 | OPP | 24.5 | 7.0 | -17.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 25.5 | 25.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-24 | OPP | 23.5 | 37.0 | +13.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-17 | OPP | 24.5 | 26.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-15 | OPP | 24.5 | 23.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-11 | OPP | 20.5 | 5.0 | -15.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-02 | OPP | 19.5 | 22.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-06 | OPP | 18.5 | 23.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-23 | OPP | 19.5 | 11.0 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-18 | OPP | 19.5 | 25.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 19.5 | 8.0 | -11.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-26 | OPP | 17.5 | 9.0 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 20.5 | 18.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 17.5 | 24.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 17.5 | 11.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Coby White's Points prop record all games?
Coby White has gone over his points prop in 34 of 73 games (46.6%) this season. His under record of 39-34 shows consistent value, with unders hitting at a 53.4% rate that beats typical -110 break-even requirements.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Coby White Points all games?
Bet the under on Coby White's points props. His 19.3 average runs 0.5 points below typical lines, creating a 2.0% ROI on unders while overs lose -11.1%. The 73-game sample provides strong statistical backing.
What's Coby White's average Points all games?
Coby White averages 19.3 points per game compared to his typical line of 19.84. This 0.5-point deficit might seem minor but has created consistent value for under bettors across 73 games this season.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Coby White under bets when Chicago faces strong perimeter defenses or when he's coming off high-scoring games. His tendency to regress after explosive performances, combined with role limitations, creates the best under opportunities.