Fade UNDER
10-39 O/U Record
20.4% Over Rate
-29.9u Units Won
-61.0% ROI
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Coby White's blocks prop presents one of the strongest under trends in the market, hitting just 20.4% of overs across 49 games with a devastating -61.0% ROI on over bets. His 0.22 blocks per game average sits a full 0.28 blocks below the standard 0.5 line, creating consistent value on unders.

Expert Analysis

The mathematical reality of Coby White's blocking production creates an exploitable market inefficiency that persists due to his guard position and playing style. At 6'5" and primarily operating as a perimeter-focused scorer and playmaker, White simply doesn't find himself in rim protection situations where blocks naturally occur. His 0.22 blocks per game average reflects a player whose defensive value comes through steals and perimeter pressure, not shot-blocking. The 0.5 line appears inflated, likely set to account for his size relative to other guards, but ignores his actual defensive role within Chicago's system. White's longest under streak of 15 games demonstrates the consistency of this trend, while his maximum over streak of just 2 games shows how rare his block production spikes are. The Bulls utilize White primarily in offensive sets where he's focused on creating shots and managing pace, not camping near the rim for potential blocks. This role-based limitation creates a sustainable edge, as his defensive positioning and responsibilities haven't changed significantly. The 52.0% ROI on under bets validates this approach, suggesting the market hasn't fully adjusted to White's actual blocking frequency versus his theoretical potential based on size.

Betting Verdict

UNDER with HIGH confidence. The 20.4% over rate combined with White's guard-centric role creates a mathematically favorable spot that shows no signs of regression. His defensive responsibilities keep him away from rim protection opportunities, making the 0.5 line consistently beatable. The primary risk is an unusually aggressive defensive game plan or garbage time situations, but these scenarios remain outliers in his overall profile.

10 OVERS (20.4%)
39 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 15 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-04-11 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-04-09 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-07 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-05 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-01 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-31 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-29 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-27 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-25 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-03-13 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-03-11 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-09 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-07 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-03-06 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-03-04 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 22.7% Over
Away 18.5% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 20.0% Over
Last 10 30.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Coby White's Blocks prop record all games?

Coby White's blocks prop record shows 10 overs and 39 unders across 49 games, translating to a 20.4% over rate. This represents one of the most lopsided under trends among active players, with under bets generating a strong 52.0% ROI.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Coby White Blocks all games?

Bet UNDER on Coby White's blocks with high confidence. His guard role and 0.22 blocks per game average create consistent value against the 0.5 line, supported by a 20.4% over rate and profitable 52.0% under ROI across 49 games.

What's Coby White's average Blocks all games?

Coby White averages 0.22 blocks per game, sitting 0.28 blocks below the standard 0.5 line. This significant gap reflects his perimeter-focused defensive role and creates a mathematical edge for under bettors in most game situations.

How reliable is this trend?

Any game presents value on White's blocks under, but focus on matchups where Chicago emphasizes offensive pace or faces teams that don't attack the rim aggressively. His role consistency makes this prop less matchup-dependent than most defensive stats.

Methodology: This analysis covers 49 games from 2023-11-08 to 2024-04-11. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.