Coby White's assists prop presents a coin-flip scenario with a 47.9% over rate across 73 games, hitting overs just 35 times against 38 unders. His 5.0 average barely exceeds the typical 4.97 line, creating minimal edge. The recent two-game under streak and poor -8.5% over ROI suggest leaning under.
Expert Analysis
Coby White's assist production reveals a player operating right at his expected threshold, making this prop particularly challenging for consistent profit. The 5.0 average against a 4.97 line creates just a 0.03 assist buffer, essentially a push scenario that explains the near-even split. The concerning -8.5% ROI on overs indicates the market has been efficiently pricing White's assist ceiling, while the minimal -0.6% under ROI suggests books aren't giving away free money on the flip side either. White's role as Chicago's primary ball-handler should theoretically provide assist floor, but the data suggests he's more of a scoring-first guard whose playmaking comes in bursts rather than consistent nightly production. The current two-game under streak, while not statistically significant given his longest streaks only reach four games in either direction, aligns with a player whose assist totals fluctuate based on game flow and teammate shooting variance. Without clear situational edges or meaningful splits to exploit, this becomes a pure variance play where the slight under bias in recent performance and superior ROI provides the only mathematical lean.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with LOW confidence. The numbers paint a picture of market efficiency with White's 47.9% over rate and minimal line differential offering no clear edge. However, the superior under ROI (-0.6% vs -8.5%) and current two-game under streak provide slight mathematical favor to the under. This is primarily a pass situation, but if forced to choose, the under carries marginally better value. Risk lies in White's ball-handling role potentially creating assist spikes in uptempo games.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-31 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-17 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-15 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-11 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-02 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-23 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-18 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Coby White's Assists prop record all games?
Coby White has gone over his assists prop in 35 of 73 games (47.9%) while going under 38 times. His record shows a slight bias toward unders with no pushes recorded across the full season sample.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Coby White Assists all games?
Lean under on Coby White's assists props. The under has produced better ROI (-0.6% vs -8.5%) and his 5.0 average barely exceeds typical lines, creating minimal over edge in an efficiently priced market.
What's Coby White's average Assists all games?
Coby White averages 5.0 assists per game compared to his typical 4.97 line, creating just a 0.03 assist differential. This minimal buffer explains his near-even 47.9% over rate across 73 games.
How reliable is this trend?
This prop lacks clear situational edges, making it primarily a pass. If betting, target unders during his current streak or when facing defensive teams that limit ball movement and assist opportunities.