CJ McCollum's three-pointers made props present a compelling over opportunity with a 62.7% hit rate (37-22-0) and impressive +19.7% ROI across 59 games. McCollum averages 3.56 makes against a 2.94 line, creating a substantial 0.6 differential that suggests consistent market undervaluation. Lean Over.
Expert Analysis
The numbers reveal a systematic market inefficiency in CJ McCollum's three-point props. His 3.56 average against a 2.94 line represents a significant 21% cushion that has translated into sustained profitability. This isn't random variance—McCollum's role as New Orleans' primary perimeter creator generates consistent volume, while his career 39.1% three-point shooter profile provides the accuracy to capitalize. The Pelicans' pace-up system under Willie Green emphasizes ball movement and spacing, creating cleaner looks for McCollum than his previous Portland tenure. His 11-game over streak demonstrates the ceiling potential when rhythm aligns with opportunity. The recent 2-game under streak actually represents value recalibration rather than concerning regression, as books haven't adequately adjusted to his increased usage patterns. McCollum's veteran consistency and defined role minimize the volatility that plagues younger shooters. The 62.7% over rate across nearly 60 games provides robust sample size confidence, while the +19.7% ROI indicates this isn't just a win rate mirage—the overs are hitting with meaningful margin. Market correction risk exists, but McCollum's established patterns and the Pelicans' system stability suggest continued edge.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 0.6 average differential and 62.7% over rate create clear mathematical edge, though the recent 2-game under streak warrants slight caution. Target games where New Orleans faces pace-up opponents or when McCollum shows early rhythm. Primary risk is books finally adjusting lines closer to his true average, which would compress margins significantly.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 4.5 | 8.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 4.5 | 9.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is CJ McCollum's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
CJ McCollum has hit the over on his three-pointers made props in 37 of 59 games (62.7%) with a 37-22-0 record. This strong over rate has generated a +19.7% ROI, demonstrating consistent profitability beyond just win percentage.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on CJ McCollum 3-Pointers Made all games?
Lean over on CJ McCollum's three-pointers made props. His 3.56 average significantly exceeds typical 2.94 lines, creating mathematical edge. The 62.7% over rate and positive ROI support continued over betting, though exercise caution after recent under streak.
What's CJ McCollum's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
CJ McCollum averages 3.56 three-pointers made per game, which runs 0.6 makes above his typical 2.94 prop line. This substantial differential of over 20% represents one of the more significant edges in player prop markets.
How reliable is this trend?
Target McCollum three-point overs when New Orleans faces pace-up opponents or high-total games that encourage perimeter shooting. Avoid after poor shooting nights when books might temporarily inflate lines, and monitor for any significant line adjustments toward his true average.