CJ McCollum's blocks production shows clear value on the under with extended rest, posting just a 41.7% over rate (5-7-0) across 12 games with 2+ days rest. The under delivers +11.4% ROI while overs hemorrhage at -20.4%, creating a reliable fade opportunity on this consistently low line.
Expert Analysis
McCollum's blocks struggles with extended rest stem from his role as a perimeter-focused guard who rarely ventures into shot-blocking lanes. The 0.5 blocks average perfectly matches the typical 0.5 line, but the distribution heavily favors zero-block performances. With 2+ days rest, McCollum appears more focused on his primary offensive responsibilities rather than gambling for defensive plays. The sample size of 12 games provides solid reliability, particularly given the consistency of his role and playing style. The longest under streak of 5 games demonstrates how McCollum can go extended periods without recording blocks, while his longest over streak of just 4 games shows the ceiling remains limited. Guard blocks are inherently volatile, but McCollum's conservative defensive positioning and the Pelicans' system that emphasizes his offensive creation make blocks an afterthought. The -20.4% ROI on overs reflects sharp money consistently fading this prop, while the +11.4% under ROI indicates sustainable value. Rest doesn't enhance McCollum's shot-blocking instincts—it simply reinforces his natural game flow that prioritizes scoring and playmaking over defensive gambles.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 58.3% under rate combined with positive ROI creates sustainable value, though the thin 0.5 line means variance remains high. Target this prop when McCollum faces teams that don't attack the rim aggressively or in games where the Pelicans project to play with a lead. The main risk is one opportunistic block ruining an otherwise sound statistical edge.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 12 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Blocks Prop Lines
Compare CJ McCollum props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is CJ McCollum's Blocks prop record 2+ days rest?
McCollum's blocks prop with 2+ days rest shows a 5-7-0 over/under record (41.7% overs) across 12 games. The under has hit 58.3% of the time, demonstrating consistent value against the standard 0.5 blocks line.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on CJ McCollum Blocks 2+ days rest?
Lean under on McCollum's blocks with 2+ days rest. The 58.3% under rate and +11.4% ROI provide sustainable value, while overs lose money at -20.4%. His perimeter role limits shot-blocking opportunities naturally.
What's CJ McCollum's average Blocks 2+ days rest?
McCollum averages exactly 0.5 blocks with 2+ days rest, perfectly matching the typical 0.5 line. This neutral average masks the distribution that heavily favors zero-block games, creating under value despite the even number.
How reliable is this trend?
Target McCollum blocks unders when facing teams with poor rim attack or in games where New Orleans projects to lead. Avoid when the Pelicans face aggressive driving teams or in potential blowout losses requiring defensive desperation.