Cameron Johnson has quietly become a sharp over target in three-pointers made props, hitting the over in 6 of his last 10 games (60%) while averaging 2.9 makes against a typical 2.6 line. The +0.3 differential and +14.6% ROI on overs signals genuine value despite a recent two-game under streak.
Expert Analysis
Johnson's three-point volume surge reflects Brooklyn's evolving offensive identity and his expanded role as a floor spacer. The 2.9 average against 2.6 lines suggests books haven't fully adjusted to his increased usage in the Nets' pace-heavy system. His 60% over rate isn't just variance – it's driven by consistent 7-8 attempt games where his 37% career accuracy translates to 2-3 makes regularly. The +14.6% ROI on overs demonstrates sustainable edge, particularly when considering Johnson's role as Brooklyn's primary stretch-four option. However, the recent two-game under streak raises questions about fatigue or defensive adjustments. Johnson's three-point production correlates strongly with Brooklyn's pace and his minutes distribution, both of which have remained stable. The key concern is regression to his career norms, but his current role and the Nets' system suggest this elevated production has staying power. Books appear slow to adjust lines, creating continued value on overs when Johnson's getting 30+ minutes and facing teams that play faster-paced games.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Johnson's 2.9 average significantly exceeds typical 2.6 lines, and his expanded role in Brooklyn's system supports continued volume. Target overs when he's projected for 30+ minutes against pace-friendly matchups. The main risk is natural regression and the current two-game under streak, but the underlying metrics suggest books are undervaluing his current three-point production in this offensive system.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-14 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 7.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Cameron Johnson's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Johnson has hit the over on his three-pointers made prop in 6 of his last 10 games, going 6-4-0 for a 60% over rate. He's averaging 2.9 makes per game during this stretch with a +14.6% ROI on over bets.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Cameron Johnson 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Lean over on Johnson's three-pointers made props. His 2.9 average significantly exceeds typical 2.6 lines, and Brooklyn's system generates consistent volume. Target games where he projects for 30+ minutes against faster-paced opponents for maximum edge.
What's Cameron Johnson's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Johnson is averaging 2.9 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, which is 0.3 above the typical 2.6 line. This differential represents genuine value as books appear slow to adjust to his expanded role in Brooklyn's offense.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Johnson's three-point overs when he's projected for 30+ minutes against teams that play at faster pace. His production correlates with Brooklyn's tempo and his floor time, making pace-up spots ideal for over bets.