The under has been the play for Caleb Ward on Steals props home games. In 76 games, he's gone OVER just 26.6% of the time, averaging 0.83 against a 1.26 line. That's -0.43 below the number—sharp bettors have been fading this prop.

The Numbers: 17-47-12 O/U

26.6% Over Rate
0.83 Avg STL
1.26 Avg Line
-0.4 Avg vs Line
-49.3% Over ROI
76 Games
OVER 26.6%
UNDER 73.4%
🚫 Verdict: Smash the Under

Performance vs Line

Line shows prop line, bars show actual performance. Green = Over, Red = Under.

Game Log (Last 0 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result

Showing most recent games. View full game log →

Situational Splits

Home vs Away

Home 26.6% Over (17-47)
Away 0% Over (0-0)

By Line Range

Line ≤ 1.0 41.7% Over
Line > 1.0 7.1% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 25.0% Over (1-3)
Last 10 12.5% Over (1-7)

Why This Trend Exists

Analysis coming soon. This trend shows interesting patterns worth monitoring.

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📉 The Data Says: UNDER on Caleb Ward Steals

The UNDER has returned +40.2% ROI in this spot. Shop for the best number.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Caleb Ward's Steals prop record home games?

Caleb Ward has gone OVER on steals props in 17 of 76 games (26.6%) home games. The full O/U record is 17-47-12.

Should I bet the OVER or UNDER on Caleb Ward Steals?

Based on historical data, the UNDER has been more profitable. The OVER has returned -49.3% ROI while the UNDER has returned +40.2% ROI in this spot.

What's Caleb Ward's average Steals home games?

Caleb Ward averages 0.83 steals home games, compared to an average prop line of 1.26. That's a differential of -0.4 vs the number.

How reliable is this Steals trend for Caleb Ward?

This trend is based on 76 games. With 20+ games, this is a reliable sample size. The data spans from 2020-11-03 to 2025-06-17.

Methodology

This analysis covers 76 games from 2020-11-03 to 2025-06-17. Over/Under results are calculated using closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice on all bets. Pushes are excluded from percentage calculations.

Last Updated: February 04, 2026