The under has been the play for Caleb Hill on Steals props vs fast pace teams. In 174 games, he's gone OVER just 34.3% of the time, averaging 1.07 against a 1.32 line. That's -0.25 below the number—sharp bettors have been fading this prop.

The Numbers: 49-94-31 O/U

34.3% Over Rate
1.07 Avg STL
1.32 Avg Line
-0.2 Avg vs Line
-34.6% Over ROI
174 Games
OVER 34.3%
UNDER 65.7%
🚫 Verdict: Smash the Under
🔥 Currently on a 3-game UNDER streak

Performance vs Line

Line shows prop line, bars show actual performance. Green = Over, Red = Under.

Game Log (Last 0 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result

Showing most recent games. View full game log →

Situational Splits

Home vs Away

Home 39.1% Over (27-42)
Away 29.7% Over (22-52)

By Line Range

Line ≤ 1.0 52.2% Over
Line > 1.0 18.4% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 0.0% Over (0-3)
Last 10 33.3% Over (2-4)

Why This Trend Exists

Analysis coming soon. This trend shows interesting patterns worth monitoring.

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📉 The Data Says: UNDER on Caleb Hill Steals

The UNDER has returned +25.5% ROI in this spot. Shop for the best number.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Caleb Hill's Steals prop record vs fast pace teams?

Caleb Hill has gone OVER on steals props in 49 of 174 games (34.3%) vs fast pace teams. The full O/U record is 49-94-31.

Should I bet the OVER or UNDER on Caleb Hill Steals?

Based on historical data, the UNDER has been more profitable. The OVER has returned -34.6% ROI while the UNDER has returned +25.5% ROI in this spot.

What's Caleb Hill's average Steals vs fast pace teams?

Caleb Hill averages 1.07 steals vs fast pace teams, compared to an average prop line of 1.32. That's a differential of -0.2 vs the number.

How reliable is this Steals trend for Caleb Hill?

This trend is based on 174 games. With 20+ games, this is a reliable sample size. The data spans from 2020-10-03 to 2025-06-26.

Methodology

This analysis covers 174 games from 2020-10-03 to 2025-06-26. Over/Under results are calculated using closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice on all bets. Pushes are excluded from percentage calculations.

Last Updated: February 04, 2026