The under has been the play for Brook Soto on Steals props vs bottom 10 defense. In 178 games, he's gone OVER just 35.2% of the time, averaging 0.99 against a 1.28 line. That's -0.29 below the number—sharp bettors have been fading this prop.

The Numbers: 56-103-19 O/U

35.2% Over Rate
0.99 Avg STL
1.28 Avg Line
-0.3 Avg vs Line
-32.8% Over ROI
178 Games
OVER 35.2%
UNDER 64.8%
⚠️ Verdict: Lean Under

Performance vs Line

Line shows prop line, bars show actual performance. Green = Over, Red = Under.

Game Log (Last 0 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result

Showing most recent games. View full game log →

Situational Splits

Home vs Away

Home 39.0% Over (30-47)
Away 31.7% Over (26-56)

By Line Range

Line ≤ 1.0 54.7% Over
Line > 1.0 12.3% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 20.0% Over (1-4)
Last 10 37.5% Over (3-5)

Why This Trend Exists

Analysis coming soon. This trend shows interesting patterns worth monitoring.

🔍

Build Your Own Player Prop Analysis

Compare any player's prop trends across different situations.

Launch Tool

📉 The Data Says: UNDER on Brook Soto Steals

The UNDER has returned +23.7% ROI in this spot. Shop for the best number.

Compare Prop Lines →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Brook Soto's Steals prop record vs bottom 10 defense?

Brook Soto has gone OVER on steals props in 56 of 178 games (35.2%) vs bottom 10 defense. The full O/U record is 56-103-19.

Should I bet the OVER or UNDER on Brook Soto Steals?

Based on historical data, the UNDER has been more profitable. The OVER has returned -32.8% ROI while the UNDER has returned +23.7% ROI in this spot.

What's Brook Soto's average Steals vs bottom 10 defense?

Brook Soto averages 0.99 steals vs bottom 10 defense, compared to an average prop line of 1.28. That's a differential of -0.3 vs the number.

How reliable is this Steals trend for Brook Soto?

This trend is based on 178 games. With 20+ games, this is a reliable sample size. The data spans from 2020-10-16 to 2025-06-27.

Methodology

This analysis covers 178 games from 2020-10-16 to 2025-06-27. Over/Under results are calculated using closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice on all bets. Pushes are excluded from percentage calculations.

Last Updated: February 04, 2026